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The latest Bet Better model pick for Luis Arraez is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases.
On Batter - Total Bases, our numbers say this bet wins about 63 times in 100. For the numbers: model probability 63%, implied 65%, edge -2.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 total baseslanded 6 of the last 10
Under 1.50 2Blanded 10 of the last 10
Under 2.50 Hlanded 10 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 10, 5:22AM UTC
MLB

Luis Arraez

SDP

-2.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Total Bases Under 1.5 -189 (1.53) · $100→$153
-2.5% Edge
Houston Astros @ Philadelphia Phillies
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania · Outdoor
Thu 10 Sep, 5:05PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts unders: 77 of 124 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
63 in 100
Predicted
0.8 Batter - Total Bases
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 62.8% · the book's price implies 65.4% · gap -2.5%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Total Bases62.8%—65.4%1.59-2.5%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/4
Last 10 games0/4

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AI Analysis

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Philadelphia Phillies vs Houston Astros: Luis Arraez Under 1.5 Batter - Total Bases (-189)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Luis Arraez has been a solid player this season, but he's facing the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park, where he averages less than one run. The Phillies have been strong against left-handed pitchers, and their overall hitting has been impressive lately, scoring more than a run ahead each game on average. This could make it tough for Arraez to rack up total bases. While Arraez has a decent batting average, his chances of getting over 1.5 total bases look slim based on how he's performed in this park and against the Phillies. Plus, both teams are playing well, making it a close matchup. Bet Under 1.5 total bases for Arraez and see how it plays out!

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 8 of last 10(80%)

Luis Arraez's lines for Thu 10 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Batter Total Bases 1.5
How many home runs does Luis Arraez hit?

Luis Arraez's batter total bases line is 1.5.

Batter Hits 0.5
How many home runs does Luis Arraez hit?

Luis Arraez's batter hits line is 0.5.

Recent form (last 5 games)

Luis Arraez is averaging 1.0 hits, 0.2 home runs and 0.4 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

1.0
Hits
0.2
HR
0.4
RBI
0.2
Runs
0.6
Walks
0.2
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: Hits Runs Rbis

Luis Arraez has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 60% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o0.560%
o1.540%
o2.530%
o3.510%
o4.510%

Home / away and opponent splits

Luis Arraez is averaging 1.0 hits per game over his last 5 and 1.2 in away games, including his recent form against CHC.

1.0
Hits · Overall
1.2
Hits · Away
2.2
Hits · vs CHC
0.2
HR · Overall
0.2
HR · Away
0.2
HR · vs CHC
Quick answers:How many home runs does Luis Arraez hit?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Sep 26 Houston Astros @ Philadelphia Phillies Batter - Runs Scored 0.5 Under -192 ✓ HIT
08 Sep 26 Houston Astros @ Philadelphia Phillies Batter - RBIs 0.5 Under -256 ✓ HIT
08 Sep 26 Houston Astros @ Philadelphia Phillies Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 1.5 Under +104 ✓ HIT
08 Sep 26 Houston Astros @ Philadelphia Phillies Batter - Singles — — — Pending
08 Sep 26 Houston Astros @ Philadelphia Phillies Batter - Total Bases — — — Pending
08 Sep 26 Houston Astros @ Philadelphia Phillies Batter - Hits — — — Pending

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About This Player

Luis Arraez (SDP) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Luis Arraez is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a slight edge of -2.5% on this pick. Their next game is Houston Astros vs Philadelphia Phillies on Thursday 10 September at Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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