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The latest Bet Better model pick for Justin Crawford is Under 0.5 on Batter - Hits.
On Batter - Hits, our numbers say this bet wins about 42 times in 100. For the numbers: model probability 42%, implied 50%, edge -7.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 hits runs rbislanded 8 of the last 9
Over 0.50 Hlanded 7 of the last 9
Over 0.50 1Blanded 5 of the last 9

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 10, 4:46AM UTC
MLB

Justin Crawford

MLB

-7.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Hits Under 0.5 +100 (2.00) · $100→$200
-7.5% Edge
Houston Astros @ Philadelphia Phillies
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania · Outdoor
Thu 10 Sep, 5:05PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts unders: 77 of 124 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
42 in 100
Predicted
0.5 Batter - Hits
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 42.5% · the book's price implies 50.0% · gap -7.5%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Hits42.5%—50.0%2.35-7.5%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games3/10

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AI Analysis

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Philadelphia Phillies vs Houston Astros: Justin Crawford Under 0.5 Batter - Hits (+100)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

The odds of +100 for Justin Crawford to get under 0.5 hits seem like a solid choice. The Phillies have been scoring well, averaging 1.4 runs more than their opponents in their last 12 games. However, when we look at Crawford, he hasn't been getting on base much recently, especially at home where he averages only 0.4 walks per game. The Astros also have a strong pitching lineup, and Crawford's numbers are just a bit below what you'd hope for. He has a batting average that suggests he might struggle against left-handers, which could make it tough for him today. While the matchup is close, this makes it a risky bet, but worth considering.

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Pick History & Track Record

Justin Crawford's lines for Thu 10 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Batter Hits 0.5
How many home runs does Justin Crawford hit?

Justin Crawford's batter hits line is 0.5.

Hit-rate ladder: Hits Runs Rbis

Justin Crawford has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 89% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o0.589%
o1.556%
o2.544%
o3.522%
o4.511%
Quick answers:How many home runs does Justin Crawford hit?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Sep 26 Houston Astros @ Philadelphia Phillies Batter - Singles 0.5 Under -137 ✓ HIT
08 Sep 26 Houston Astros @ Philadelphia Phillies Batter - RBIs 0.5 Under -385 ✓ HIT
08 Sep 26 Houston Astros @ Philadelphia Phillies Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 1.5 Under -161 ✗ MISS
08 Sep 26 Houston Astros @ Philadelphia Phillies Batter - Hits — — — Pending
08 Sep 26 Houston Astros @ Philadelphia Phillies Batter - Runs Scored — — — Pending
08 Sep 26 Houston Astros @ Philadelphia Phillies Batter - Stolen Bases — — — Pending

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About This Player

Justin Crawford is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Justin Crawford is Under 0.5 on Batter - Hits. The model identifies a slight edge of -7.5% on this pick. Their next game is Houston Astros vs Philadelphia Phillies on Thursday 10 September at Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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