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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jeremy Pena is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases.
On Batter - Total Bases, our numbers say this bet wins about 61 times in 100. For the numbers: model probability 61%, implied 66%, edge -5.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 Hlanded 10 of the last 10
Over 0.50 1Blanded 7 of the last 10
Over 1.50 hits runs rbislanded 6 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 10, 4:46AM UTC
MLB

Jeremy Pena

HOU

-5.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Total Bases Under 1.5 -192 (1.52) · $100→$152
-5.1% Edge
Houston Astros @ Philadelphia Phillies
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania · Outdoor
Thu 10 Sep, 5:05PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts unders: 77 of 124 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
61 in 100
Predicted
0.9 Batter - Total Bases
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 60.7% · the book's price implies 65.8% · gap -5.1%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Total Bases60.7%—65.8%1.65-5.1%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/10

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AI Analysis

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Philadelphia Phillies vs Houston Astros: Jeremy Pena Under 1.5 Batter - Total Bases (-192)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

The Philadelphia Phillies are playing well at home and have been scoring about 1.4 runs more than their opponents in recent games. Jeremy Pena faces a tough matchup against left-handed pitchers, where he has struggled a bit this year. The Phillies have been solid on defense, especially at Citizens Bank Park, making it harder for him to get those hits. While Pena has talent, our numbers suggest he will likely stay under 1.5 total bases in this game. The Phillies' strong performance against hitters like him adds to this expectation. Just remember, the Astros have also been winning, so it could be a close one.

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Pick History & Track Record

Jeremy Pena's lines for Thu 10 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Batter Total Bases 1.5
How many home runs does Jeremy Peña hit?

Jeremy Pena's batter total bases line is 1.5.

Batter Hits 0.5
How many home runs does Jeremy Peña hit?

Jeremy Pena's batter hits line is 0.5.

Recent form (last 5 games)

Jeremy Pena is averaging 1.4 hits, 0.0 home runs and 0.2 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

1.4
Hits
0.0
HR
0.2
RBI
0.6
Runs
0.4
Walks
0.4
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: Total Bases

Jeremy Pena has gone over 1.5 total bases in 40% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o1.540%
o2.520%
o3.510%
o4.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Jeremy Pena is averaging 1.4 hits per game over his last 5 and 1.4 in home games, including his recent form against TEX.

1.4
Hits · Overall
1.4
Hits · Home
0.8
Hits · vs TEX
0.0
HR · Overall
0.0
HR · Home
0.0
HR · vs TEX
Quick answers:How many home runs does Jeremy Peña hit?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Sep 26 Houston Astros @ Philadelphia Phillies Batter - Singles 0.5 Under -110 ✓ HIT
08 Sep 26 Houston Astros @ Philadelphia Phillies Batter - Runs Scored 0.5 Under -152 ✓ HIT
08 Sep 26 Houston Astros @ Philadelphia Phillies Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -172 ✗ MISS
08 Sep 26 Houston Astros @ Philadelphia Phillies Batter - Walks — — — Pending
08 Sep 26 Houston Astros @ Philadelphia Phillies Batter - RBIs — — — Pending
08 Sep 26 Houston Astros @ Philadelphia Phillies Batter - Doubles — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jeremy Pena (HOU) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jeremy Pena is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a slight edge of -5.1% on this pick. Their next game is Houston Astros vs Philadelphia Phillies on Thursday 10 September at Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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