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The latest Bet Better model pick for Derek Hill is Under 0.5 on Batter - Hits.
On Batter - Hits, our numbers say this bet wins about 48 times in 100. For the numbers: calibrated probability 48%, implied 54%, edge -9.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 hits runs rbislanded 6 of the last 10
Over 0.50 Hlanded 6 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 10, 6:06AM UTC
MLB

Derek Hill

MIA

-9.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Hits Under 0.5 -118 (1.85) · $100→$185
-9.6% Edge
Atlanta Braves @ Philadelphia Phillies
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania · Outdoor
Sat 5 Sep, 10:05PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts unders: 77 of 124 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
44 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 44.5% · the book's price implies 54.1% · gap -9.6%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Hits44.5%48.1%54.1%2.03-9.6%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games5/10

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AI Analysis

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Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves: Derek Hill Under 0.5 Batter - Hits (-118)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Derek Hill has struggled at the plate lately, averaging just 0.3 hits per game over his last three games. The Phillies have a solid home record, but Hill's recent form against left-handed pitchers has not been great, and tonight he faces a tough Braves team. While both teams have been winning a lot recently, the wind blowing out toward the outfield could help hitters overall. However, Hill's hitting rate is down to about 0.7 of his usual, which makes it tough to expect him to get a hit. Betting on him to get under 0.5 hits could be a smart choice given these factors.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 8 of last 10(80%)
Overall Hit Rate (21 picks) 66.7% Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

Recent form (last 5 games)

Derek Hill is averaging 0.2 hits, 0.2 home runs and 0.4 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

0.2
Hits
0.2
HR
0.4
RBI
0.4
Runs
0.2
Walks
1.6
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: Hits Runs Rbis

Derek Hill has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 30% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o0.530%
o1.520%
o2.510%
o3.50%
o4.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Derek Hill is averaging 0.2 hits per game over his last 5 and 0.8 in away games, including his recent form against NYM.

0.2
Hits · Overall
0.8
Hits · Away
0.8
Hits · vs NYM
0.2
HR · Overall
0.2
HR · Away
0.2
HR · vs NYM
Quick answers:How many home runs does Derek Hill hit?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Sep 26 Atlanta Braves @ Philadelphia Phillies Batter - Hits 0.5 Under -118 ✗ MISS
04 Sep 26 Atlanta Braves @ Philadelphia Phillies Batter - Hits 0.5 Under -147 ✓ HIT
04 Sep 26 Atlanta Braves @ Philadelphia Phillies Batter - Stolen Bases 0.5 Under -1000 ✓ HIT
04 Sep 26 Atlanta Braves @ Philadelphia Phillies Batter - Singles — — — Pending
04 Sep 26 Atlanta Braves @ Philadelphia Phillies Batter - Walks — — — Pending
04 Sep 26 Atlanta Braves @ Philadelphia Phillies Batter - RBIs — — — Pending

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About This Player

Derek Hill (MIA) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 66.7% on tracked Derek Hill picks. The latest model pick for Derek Hill is Under 0.5 on Batter - Hits. The model identifies a slight edge of -9.6% on this pick. Their next game is Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies on Saturday 5 September at Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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