Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Corbin Burnes is Over 5.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts.
On Pitcher - Strikeouts, our numbers say this bet wins about 45 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 45%, implied 23%, edge +23.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Sep 14, 9:16AM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Strikeouts
Over 5.5
+340 (4.40) · $100→$440
+23.5% Edge
Miami Marlins
@
Arizona Diamondbacks
Chase Field, Phoenix, Arizona · Indoor
Tue 15 Sep, 1:40AM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb batter home runs overs: 37 of 206 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
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How often this wins
46 in 100
Predicted
5.4 Pitcher - Strikeouts
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 46.2% · the book's price implies 22.7% · gap +23.5%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Pitcher - Strikeouts | 46.2% | 44.9% | 22.7% | 2.23 | +23.5% |
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Corbin Burnes Over 5.5 Strikeouts (+340)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Arizona Diamondbacks play Miami Marlins in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Corbin Burnes Over 5.5 Strikeouts (+340). That is a Strikeouts bet. It was priced at +340 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $44 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Corbin Burnes's lines for Tue 15 Sep
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Pitcher Strikeouts 5.5
Corbin Burnes's pitcher strikeouts line is 5.5.
Pitcher Strikeouts 4.5
Corbin Burnes's pitcher strikeouts line is 4.5.
Pitcher Strikeouts 3.5
Corbin Burnes's pitcher strikeouts line is 3.5.
Pitcher Strikeouts 2.5
Corbin Burnes's pitcher strikeouts line is 2.5.
Pitcher Strikeouts 6.5
Corbin Burnes's pitcher strikeouts line is 6.5.
Pitcher Outs 13.5
-109 best over price · 5 books
Corbin Burnes's pitcher outs line is 13.5, best over price -109 across 5 books.
Pitcher Strikeouts 7.5
Corbin Burnes's pitcher strikeouts line is 7.5.
Betting angles
2 markets livePitcher - StrikeoutsUpcoming gameO 5.5 +340
Corbin Burnes MLB strikeouts. Current line O 5.5 at +340.
Pitcher - OutsUpcoming gameO 13.5 -105 Corbin Burnes MLB outs. Current line O 13.5 at -105.
Corbin Burnes is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Corbin Burnes is Over 5.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +23.5% on this pick. Their next game is Miami Marlins vs Arizona Diamondbacks on Tuesday 15 September at Chase Field, Phoenix. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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