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The latest Bet Better model pick for Bryce Harper is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases.
On Batter - Total Bases, our numbers say this bet wins about 60 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 60%, implied 60%, edge +0.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 total baseslanded 7 of the last 10
Under 1.50 BBlanded 10 of the last 10
Under 2.50 2Blanded 10 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 10, 4:50AM UTC
MLB

Bryce Harper

PHI

+0.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Total Bases Under 1.5 -149 (1.67) · $100→$167
+0.3% Edge
Houston Astros @ Philadelphia Phillies
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania · Outdoor
Thu 10 Sep, 5:05PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts unders: 77 of 124 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
60 in 100
Predicted
0.9 Batter - Total Bases
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 60.2% · the book's price implies 59.9% · gap +0.3%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Total Bases60.2%—59.9%1.66+0.3%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games2/10

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AI Analysis

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Philadelphia Phillies vs Houston Astros: Bryce Harper Under 1.5 Batter - Total Bases (-149)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

At Citizens Bank Park, the Philadelphia Phillies are looking strong, winning six of their last ten games and scoring about 1.4 runs more than their opponents in the same stretch. Bryce Harper has been solid, especially in day games after a night game, but his overall performance suggests he might have a tougher time today against the Houston Astros. They've also been winning six of their last ten and are pretty evenly matched with the Phillies. Harper's numbers show he usually gets under 1.5 total bases, with our expected total for him today being around 0.9. The Astros have done well against left-handed pitchers, just slightly behind the league average. With both teams hitting well, but Harper facing a solid challenge, there's a real chance he won't reach that mark today.

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Pick History & Track Record

Bryce Harper's lines for Thu 10 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Batter Total Bases 1.5
How many home runs does Bryce Harper hit?

Bryce Harper's batter total bases line is 1.5.

Batter Hits 0.5
How many home runs does Bryce Harper hit?

Bryce Harper's batter hits line is 0.5.

Recent form (last 5 games)

Bryce Harper is averaging 0.8 hits, 0.2 home runs and 1.0 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

0.8
Hits
0.2
HR
1.0
RBI
0.6
Runs
1.0
Walks
0.8
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: Hits Runs Rbis

Bryce Harper has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 50% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o0.550%
o1.50%
o2.510%
o3.50%
o4.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Bryce Harper is averaging 0.8 hits per game over his last 5 and 0.4 in away games, including his recent form against LAD.

0.8
Hits · Overall
0.4
Hits · Away
1.0
Hits · vs LAD
0.2
HR · Overall
0.0
HR · Away
0.0
HR · vs LAD
Quick answers:How many home runs does Bryce Harper hit?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Sep 26 Houston Astros @ Philadelphia Phillies Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 1.5 Under -108 ✓ HIT
08 Sep 26 Houston Astros @ Philadelphia Phillies Batter - Doubles 0.5 Under -588 ✓ HIT
08 Sep 26 Houston Astros @ Philadelphia Phillies Batter - Runs Scored 0.5 Under -135 ✓ HIT
08 Sep 26 Houston Astros @ Philadelphia Phillies Batter - Walks — — — Pending
08 Sep 26 Houston Astros @ Philadelphia Phillies Batter - Singles — — — Pending
08 Sep 26 Houston Astros @ Philadelphia Phillies Batter - Runs Scored — — — Pending

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About This Player

Bryce Harper (PHI) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Bryce Harper is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.3% on this pick. Their next game is Houston Astros vs Philadelphia Phillies on Thursday 10 September at Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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