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Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.
TOR
For the numbers: model probability 96.9% · the book's price implies 84.7% · gap +12.1%.
The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.
Unlock how often this player has landed over his last 3, 5, 10, 15 and 20 games — plus his current streak.
The bet on Bowden Francis for Over 0.5 in the Pitcher Walks Allowed market is driven by his consistent performance data. Francis' L5 Overall BB Allowed Average is 1.8, which is significantly higher than the bet line of 0.5. This trend holds true even when he's playing away games, with an L5 Away BB Allowed Average of 1. This indicates a strong likelihood of him allowing at least one walk in the upcoming game. Additionally, Francis' L5 Overall IP Average and L5 Away IP Average (5.5 and 6.1 respectively) suggest he typically pitches long enough in games for a walk to occur. Despite his L5 vs Opp BB Allowed Average being 0, the overall and away game data present a compelling statistical case for this bet.
See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.
Bowden Francis is averaging 3.8 hits, 1.0 home runs and 0.0 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.
Bowden Francis has gone over 2.5 H in 60% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.
Bowden Francis is averaging 3.8 hits per game over his last 5 and 3.6 in away games, including his recent form against PHI.
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Bowden Francis (TOR) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Bowden Francis is Over 0.5 on Pitcher - Walks. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.1% on this pick. Their next game is Toronto Blue Jays vs Philadelphia Phillies on Saturday 14 June at Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.
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