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Model picks & player props
Cleveland Guardians
VS
Chicago White Sox

Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 10, 5:31AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Guaranteed Rate Field, Chicago
Outdoor
Sun 9 Aug 2026, 6:10PM
20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Cleveland Guardians -3 Spread +306

The model graded 70 markets for Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $406 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 9 Aug 2026, 6:10PM at Guaranteed Rate Field.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win46.6%
The price says24.6%
Best price+306
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Cleveland Guardians -3 Lean47% chance +306
Spread Long-shot30% chance
Spread Lean43% chance
Spread Lean58% chance
Spread High62% chance
Spread - 1st 5 Innings Lean58% chance
Spread Long-shot21% chance
Spread Long-shot15% chance
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Long-shot38% chance
Batter - Singles × 9 props Highup to 99%
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs × 11 props Highup to 88%
Batter - Hits × 7 props Highup to 94%
Batter - Total Bases × 5 props Highup to 91%
Pitcher - Hits Allowed × 1 prop Highup to 74%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Cleveland Guardians and Chicago White Sox last met on Sun 9 Aug 2026. The model's calls from that game are graded below. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
Cleveland Guardians -3.5 · $100 returned $570

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 77 of 124 right (mlb pitcher strikeouts unders)
This bet type · last timeSep 8
Corbin Burnes Under 2.5
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Kansas City Royals
CASHED
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Our call on this game: 1 pick on the board · logged before tip-offSee the picks

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Cleveland Guardians
-7.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Cleveland GuardiansSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cleveland GuardiansSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cleveland GuardiansSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cleveland GuardiansSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cleveland GuardiansSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cleveland GuardiansSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cleveland GuardiansSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cleveland GuardiansSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cleveland GuardiansSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cleveland GuardiansSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cleveland GuardiansSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Cleveland Guardians

  • Colin Holderman RPOut
  • Rhys Hoskins 1BOut
  • Shawn Armstrong RPOut

Probable pitcher

Foster Griffin SP

Chicago White Sox

  • Drew Thorpe SPOut
  • Tommy Pham LFOut
  • Prelander Berroa RPOut
  • Ky Bush SPOut
  • Huascar Brazoban RPOut
  • Jordan Leasure RPOut
  • Joey Bart COut
  • Mike Vasil RPOut
  • Tanner Murray LFOut
  • Brooks Baldwin LFOut

Probable pitcher

Davis Martin SP
Availability updated Sep 9, 11:40PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 13 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability13 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Travis Bazzana CLE Batter - Singles
Travis Bazzana Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs
Jo Adell LAA Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs
Miguel Vargas Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs
Chase DeLauter CLE Batter - Singles

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineChicago White SoxNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF1.8L5 RA2.2Home L52-3vs Cleveland Guardians L53-2Free board8-8

Chicago White Sox moneyline form: last five 2-3, 1.8 runs/gm.

Run LineChicago White Sox run lineNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF1.8L5 RA2.2Home L52-3vs Cleveland Guardians L53-2

Chicago White Sox spread form: last five 2-3, 1.8 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland GuardiansNo line posted

Chicago White Sox total runs form: last five 2-3, 1.8 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsChicago White Sox team totalNo line posted
2.3runs we expect
L5 RF1.8L5 RA2.2Home L52-3vs Cleveland Guardians L53-2

Chicago White Sox team total runs form: last five 2-3, 1.8 runs/gm.

Cleveland Guardians @ Chicago White Sox — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Cleveland Guardians at Chicago White Sox — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox — recent results

Chicago White Sox have won 2 of their last 5 games; Cleveland Guardians have won 2 of their last 5.

Chicago White Sox — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L2–4PITHome
L3–9PITHome
W10–1MINHome
L4–6MINHome
W4–1MINHome
Cleveland Guardians — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L5–9BALAway
W9–5BALAway
L4–6BALAway
W3–2DETHome
L0–6DETHome

Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox — recent meetings

These two have met 10 times recently: Chicago White Sox won 6, Cleveland Guardians won 4.

DateChicago White SoxCleveland GuardiansWinner
Aug 953Chicago White Sox
Aug 863Chicago White Sox
Aug 728Cleveland Guardians
Jul 576Chicago White Sox
Jul 431Chicago White Sox
Jul 334Cleveland Guardians
Jul 256Cleveland Guardians
Jun 2434Cleveland Guardians
Jun 2321Chicago White Sox
Jun 2265Chicago White Sox

Who’s out or in doubt

13 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Chicago White Sox
PlayerStatus
Drew Thorpe SPOUT
Tommy Pham LFOUT
Prelander Berroa RPOUT
Ky Bush SPOUT
Huascar Brazoban RPOUT
Jordan Leasure RPOUT
Joey Bart COUT
Mike Vasil RPOUT
Cleveland Guardians
PlayerStatus
Colin Holderman RPOUT
Rhys Hoskins 1BOUT
Shawn Armstrong RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Cleveland Guardians @ Chicago White Sox — model preview

Our Cleveland Guardians at Chicago White Sox prediction for August 10, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On August 10, 2026 our model has run Cleveland Guardians at Chicago White Sox and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Guardians: Under 15.5 Total Runs (-625), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
09 Aug 26 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Over 6.5 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Over 2.5 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 6.5 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Over 3.5 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 6 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 5 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 4 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 7 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 7.5 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Over 4.5 ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Guardians vs Sox, or as Sox vs Guardians. The most recent game between them was Sunday 9 August 2026 at Guaranteed Rate Field. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 57 meetings on record
Cleveland Guardians 35–22 across the last 57 meetings · these games average 7.9 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
9 Aug 2026Cleveland Guardians @ Chicago White Sox5–3Chicago White Sox
8 Aug 2026Cleveland Guardians @ Chicago White Sox6–3Chicago White Sox
7 Aug 2026Cleveland Guardians @ Chicago White Sox2–8Cleveland Guardians
5 Jul 2026Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Guardians6–7Chicago White Sox
4 Jul 2026Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Guardians1–3Chicago White Sox
3 Jul 2026Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Guardians4–3Cleveland Guardians
2 Jul 2026Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Guardians6–5Cleveland Guardians
24 Jun 2026Cleveland Guardians @ Chicago White Sox3–4Cleveland Guardians
23 Jun 2026Cleveland Guardians @ Chicago White Sox2–1Chicago White Sox
22 Jun 2026Cleveland Guardians @ Chicago White Sox6–5Chicago White Sox

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 57 meetings on file.

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