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Model picks & player props
Connecticut Sun
VS
Los Angeles Sparks

Connecticut Sun vs Los Angeles Sparks Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 10, 5:24AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

WNBA
Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
Indoor
Sun 23 Aug 2026, 1:00AM
20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
60.8%
Historical Hit Rate
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Under 165.5 Alt Total Points +120

The model graded 70 markets for Connecticut Sun vs Los Angeles Sparks (WNBA) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $220 if it lands. Picks on this matchup have hit 60.8% across 74 settled results. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 23 Aug 2026, 1:00AM at Crypto.com Arena.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win55.9%
The price says43.4%
Best price+120
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Alt Total Points Under 165.5 Lean56% chance +120
Total Points High62% chance
Alt Total Points High63% chance
Alt Total Points High65% chance
Alt Total Points High64% chance
Alt Total Points High71% chance
Alt Spread High73% chance
Alt Total Points High70% chance
Spread Lean58% chance
Pts+Reb × 5 props Highup to 72%
Points × 7 props Highup to 69%
Rebounds × 6 props Highup to 66%
Assists × 4 props Highup to 75%
Assists (Alt) × 3 props Highup to 75%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Connecticut Sun and Los Angeles Sparks last met on Sun 23 Aug 2026. The model's calls from that game are graded below. Today's board: every WNBA game priced right now.

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This game is done — the model’s call CASHED
Under 165.5 · $100 returned $220

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best WNBA market — 1,718 of 2,295 right (wnba totals unders)
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Alt Total Points
Under
170
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Connecticut SunAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Connecticut SunSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Connecticut SunAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Connecticut SunAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Connecticut SunAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Connecticut SunAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Connecticut SunAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Connecticut Sun

  • Rayah Marshall COut
  • Olivia Nelson-Ododa COut
  • Brittney Griner COut
  • Leila Lacan GOut

Los Angeles Sparks

  • Aaliyah Nye GOut
Availability updated Aug 30, 11:50PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Connecticut Sun vs Los Angeles Sparks: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 5 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability5 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Olivia Nelson-Ododa CON Pts+Reb
Olivia Nelson-Ododa CON Points
Olivia Nelson-Ododa CON Rebounds
Cameron Brink LA Pts+Reb
Dearica Hamby LA Assists

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Connecticut Sun @ Los Angeles Sparks — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Connecticut Sun at Los Angeles Sparks — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

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Connecticut Sun vs Los Angeles Sparks — recent results

Los Angeles Sparks have won 3 of their last 5 games; Connecticut Sun have won 1 of their last 5.

Los Angeles Sparks — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W90–74SEAAway
W88–82WSHHome
L71–78ATLHome
W77–68CONHome
L88–124ATLHome
Connecticut Sun — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L71–97DALAway
L91–111INDAway
L64–89GSHome
W87–81CHIHome
L68–77LAAway

Connecticut Sun vs Los Angeles Sparks — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: Los Angeles Sparks won 1, Connecticut Sun won 2.

DateLos Angeles SparksConnecticut SunWinner
Aug 237768Los Angeles Sparks
Aug 187785Connecticut Sun
May 308184Connecticut Sun

Who’s out or in doubt

5 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Los Angeles Sparks
PlayerStatus
Aaliyah Nye GOUT
Connecticut Sun
PlayerStatus
Rayah Marshall COUT
Olivia Nelson-Ododa COUT
Brittney Griner COUT
Leila Lacan GOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Connecticut Sun @ Los Angeles Sparks — model preview

Los Angeles Sparks v Connecticut Sun, 23 August 2026. Top of the list: Connecticut Sun +13.5 on the Line. Our model likes 4 bets in this game.

On Sunday 23 August 2026, Los Angeles Sparks play Connecticut Sun in the WNBA. Our model likes 4 bets here. The one it likes most is Connecticut Sun +13.5 on the Line, priced at -286 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Connecticut Sun +13.5 on the Line (-286)

Odds available at BetRivers at time of publishing

As the Sparks prepare to host the Connecticut Sun at Crypto.com Arena, this matchup promises a thrilling clash. The Sun, known for their tenacious defense and up-tempo style, can exploit the Sparks' vulnerabilities, especially with a lineup that thrives under pressure. Historically, Connecticut has shown they can cover larger spreads against teams struggling to find their rhythm. The model leans heavily towards the Sun covering the alternate spread of 13.5, projecting a final margin that nudges them ahead by roughly 2.4 points. With Los Angeles battling injuries and inconsistency, the Sun's poise and depth could well be the deciding factors. Expect a high-paced game where Connecticut's ability to capitalize on fast breaks and defensive breakdowns might just blow this game open, making 13.5 a tempting line to consider. This isn't just a bet; it's a chance to ride the momentum of a confident Sun team on the rise. It was priced at -286 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.50 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
74
Total Picks
60.8%
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
23 Aug 26 Alt Spread Connecticut Sun +9.5 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Under 170 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Alt Spread Connecticut Sun +11.5 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Over 160.5 ✗ MISS
23 Aug 26 Spread Connecticut Sun +5 ✗ MISS
23 Aug 26 Alt Spread Connecticut Sun +8.5 ✗ MISS
23 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Over 161.5 ✗ MISS
23 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Over 162 ✗ MISS
23 Aug 26 Alt Spread Connecticut Sun +7.5 ✗ MISS
23 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Over 162.5 ✗ MISS
23 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Under 173.5 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Under 173 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Alt Spread Connecticut Sun +12.5 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Alt Spread Connecticut Sun +10.5 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Under 169.5 ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Connecticut Sun vs Los Angeles Sparks in the WNBA. You may also see this matchup written as Sun vs Sparks, or as Sparks vs Sun. The most recent game between them was Sunday 23 August 2026 at Crypto.com Arena. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. The model has recorded a hit rate of 60.8% on tracked picks between these two teams. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your WNBA betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 3 meetings on record
Connecticut Sun 2–1 across the last 3 meetings
DateGameScoreWinner
23 Aug 2026Connecticut Sun @ Los Angeles Sparks77–68Los Angeles Sparks
18 Aug 2026Los Angeles Sparks @ Connecticut Sun85–77Connecticut Sun
30 May 2026Los Angeles Sparks @ Connecticut Sun84–81Connecticut Sun
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