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Model picks & player props
Sassuolo
VS
Bologna

Sassuolo vs Bologna Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 10, 8:07AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

Soccer
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna
Outdoor
Sun 6 Sep 2026, 4:00PM
20
Game markets graded
2
Props graded
70.6%
Historical Hit Rate
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Over 9.5 Total Corners +105

The model graded 22 markets for Sassuolo vs Bologna (Soccer) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $205 if it lands. Picks on this matchup have hit 70.6% across 34 settled results. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 6 Sep 2026, 4:00PM at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win50.3%
The price says44.6%
Best price+105
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Corners Over 9.5 Lean50% chance +105
Total Corners Long-shot38% chance
Total Corners Long-shot28% chance
Total Corners High89% chance
Spread High95% chance
Total Goals Lean45% chance
Total Corners Long-shot7% chance
Spread High86% chance
Moneyline Long-shot20% chance
Shots × 1 prop Long-shotup to 39%
Shots on Target × 1 prop Long-shotup to 19%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Sassuolo and Bologna last met on Sun 6 Sep 2026. The model's calls from that game are graded below. Today's board: every Soccer game priced right now.

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Over 9.5 · $100 returned $205

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best Soccer market — 57 of 117 right (soccer draw no bet calls)
This bet type · last timeSep 7
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Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Corners
Over
11.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
OverTotal CornersThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal CornersThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal CornersThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal CornersThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
SassuoloSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal CornersThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
SassuoloSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
SassuoloMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
BolognaSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
BolognaSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
BolognaSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
SassuoloSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
SassuoloSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
SassuoloSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
BolognaSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
SassuoloSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Sassuolo

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Bologna

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Sassuolo vs Bologna: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Same game parlay

Written 6 Sep

Bologna vs Sassuolo Prediction & Same Game Parlay picks Key Insights: Don't Miss These Odds

On Sunday 6 September 2026, Bologna play Sassuolo in Serie A. Our model likes one bet here. The one it likes most is Bologna vs Sassuolo: Over 6.5 Total Corners, priced at -476 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Bologna vs Sassuolo: Over 6.5 Total Corners (-476)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As Bologna prepares to host Sassuolo, the stage is set for a corner-heavy encounter. Bologna has shown a propensity to apply pressure at home, averaging 12 shots per game, which naturally leads to corners. Their recent trend of 1.2 corners per game at home highlights their attacking intent. Meanwhile, Sassuolo, despite struggling in recent away matches, still averages around 1.6 corners per game, as they often push forward in search of goals. Considering the overall dynamics, with both teams needing points and Bologna's tendency to dominate play, the likelihood of surpassing the 6.5 corners mark feels strong. Both teams are likely to create chances, leading to corners, especially with the stakes high in this Serie A clash. Expect an engaging battle with plenty of corner kicks as they vie for supremacy on the pitch.

That is how our model reads Bologna v Sassuolo. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

Bet Better model desk · read as an article

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Jay Idzes Venezia Shots
Jay Idzes Venezia Shots on Target

+ 2 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineSassuolo @ BolognaNo line posted
3-3-2past meetings (last 8)
Home form9-7-4Away form3-5-12
past meetings, home wins3 / 8 home

In their last 8 meetings, Bologna have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 2. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Both Teams to ScoreSassuolo @ BolognaNo line posted
6 / 8past meetings, both scored
Bologna60%Sassuolo50%Free board17-14
past meetings, both scored6 / 8 both scored

Both teams scored in 60% of Bologna's and 50% of Sassuolo's recent matches. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Total GoalsSassuolo @ BolognaNo line posted
5 / 8past meetings, over 2.5
Home ov2.550%Away ov2.550%past meetings avg3.6
past meetings, over 2.55 / 8 over

The last 8 meetings averaged 3.6 goals, over 2.5 in 5 of them. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Sassuolo @ Bologna — what the model found

Our model graded 22 betting markets for Sassuolo at Bologna — 20 on the game itself and 2 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
2
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 22 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 21 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Sassuolo @ Bologna — model preview

Bologna v Sassuolo, 6 September 2026. Top of the list: Bologna vs Sassuolo: Over 6.5 Total Corners. Our model likes one bet in this game.

On Sunday 6 September 2026, Bologna play Sassuolo in Serie A. Our model likes one bet here. The one it likes most is Bologna vs Sassuolo: Over 6.5 Total Corners, priced at -476 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Bologna vs Sassuolo: Over 6.5 Total Corners (-476)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As Bologna prepares to host Sassuolo, the stage is set for a corner-heavy encounter. Bologna has shown a propensity to apply pressure at home, averaging 12 shots per game, which naturally leads to corners. Their recent trend of 1.2 corners per game at home highlights their attacking intent. Meanwhile, Sassuolo, despite struggling in recent away matches, still averages around 1.6 corners per game, as they often push forward in search of goals. Considering the overall dynamics, with both teams needing points and Bologna's tendency to dominate play, the likelihood of surpassing the 6.5 corners mark feels strong. Both teams are likely to create chances, leading to corners, especially with the stakes high in this Serie A clash. Expect an engaging battle with plenty of corner kicks as they vie for supremacy on the pitch.

That is how our model reads Bologna v Sassuolo. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
34
Total Picks
70.6%
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
06 Sep 26 Total Corners Over 11.5 ✓ HIT
06 Sep 26 Moneyline Sassuolo ✗ MISS
06 Sep 26 Total Corners Over 9.5 ✓ HIT
06 Sep 26 Spread Bologna -0.25 ✗ MISS
06 Sep 26 Spread Bologna -1.5 ✗ MISS
06 Sep 26 Total Corners Over 10.5 ✓ HIT
06 Sep 26 Total Corners Over 5.5 ✓ HIT
06 Sep 26 Spread Sassuolo +1.5 ✓ HIT
06 Sep 26 Total Goals Over 2.5 ✓ HIT
06 Sep 26 Spread Sassuolo +0.75 ✓ HIT
06 Sep 26 Spread Sassuolo -1.5 ✗ MISS
06 Sep 26 Total Goals Over 0.5 ✓ HIT
06 Sep 26 Spread Sassuolo +2.5 ✓ HIT
06 Sep 26 Spread Sassuolo +3.5 ✓ HIT
06 Sep 26 Spread Bologna +1.5 ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Sassuolo vs Bologna in the Soccer. The most recent game between them was Sunday 6 September 2026 at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara. The model has generated 20 game picks and 2 player props for this matchup. The model has recorded a hit rate of 70.6% on tracked picks between these two teams. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 2 meetings on record
Bologna 1–0 across the last 2 meetings · 1 draw
DateGameScoreWinner
6 Sep 2026Sassuolo @ Bologna2–2Draw
15 Mar 2026Bologna @ Sassuolo0–1Bologna
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