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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Will Setterfield is Over 20.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 71 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 71%, implied 62%, edge +9.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 6:06AM UTC
AFL

Will Setterfield

Essendon

+9.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 20.5 -161 (1.62) · $100→$162
+9.1% Edge
Essendon Bombers @ Geelong Cats
GMHBA Stadium, Geelong, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 8 Aug, 6:35AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 19°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
71 in 100
Predicted
23.2 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 70.8% · the book's price implies 61.7% · gap +9.1%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals70.8%61.7%1.41+9.1%

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AI Analysis

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Will Setterfield (Essendon) Over 20.5 Disposals (-161)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Will Setterfield is poised to deliver a standout performance for the Essendon Bombers against the Geelong Cats. In his last five away games, Setterfield has been a force to be reckoned with, averaging a solid 22 disposals per game. His ability to find space and create opportunities is evident in his 65.1% disposal efficiency and 307 meters gained on average. Facing the Cats, with a recent average of 20 disposals against them, Setterfield is primed to surpass the 20.5 disposal line. With a current hit streak of 1 overall, Setterfield's form is on the rise, making him a strong bet for exceeding expectations in this matchup. Get ready to see Setterfield dominate the midfield and snag those crucial possessions to secure the Over on his disposals.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 6 of last 10(60%)

Season averages (2024)

Will Setterfield averaged 22.8 disposals, 0.0 goals and 4.3 marks per game across 4 games in 2024.

22.8
Disposals
0.0
Goals
4.3
Marks
6.8
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (9 Jun 24 vs Carlton), Will Setterfield recorded 19 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
9 Jun 24Carlton19045
5 Apr 24Port Adelaide19027
23 Mar 24Sydney Swans29057
16 Mar 24Hawthorn24068
25 Aug 23Collingwood140110
13 May 23Brisbane Lions23064
7 May 23Port Adelaide16054
30 Apr 23Geelong Cats19021
25 Apr 23Collingwood22045
15 Apr 23Melbourne190310
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Aug 26 Essendon Bombers @ Geelong Cats Disposals 16.5 Over -769 ✓ HIT
02 Aug 26 Adelaide Crows @ Essendon Bombers Disposals 15.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
02 Aug 26 Adelaide Crows @ Essendon Bombers Disposals 14.5 Over -769 ✓ HIT
08 Aug 26 Essendon Bombers @ Geelong Cats Disposals Pending
08 Aug 26 Essendon Bombers @ Geelong Cats Disposals Pending
08 Aug 26 Essendon Bombers @ Geelong Cats Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Will Setterfield (Essendon) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Will Setterfield is Over 20.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.1% on this pick. Their next game is Essendon Bombers vs Geelong Cats on Saturday 8 August at GMHBA Stadium, Geelong. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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