Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Aliyah Boston is Over 16.5 on Points (Alt).
On Points (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 53 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 53%, implied 49%, edge +4.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current WNBA schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 6:07AM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Points (Alt)
Over 16.5
+105 (2.05) · $100→$205
+4.5% Edge
Connecticut Sun
@
Indiana Fever
Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indiana · Indoor
Fri 28 Aug, 11:30PM
The recordWhen our formula calls wnba totals unders: 1,718 of 2,295 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
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How often this wins
53 in 100
Predicted
17.3 Points (Alt)
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 53.3% · the book's price implies 48.8% · gap +4.5%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Points (Alt) | 53.3% | — | 48.8% | 1.88 | +4.5% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 2/3 |
| Last 5 games | 2/5 |
| Last 10 games | 6/10 |
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Aliyah Boston Over 16.5 Points (+105)
Odds available at fanatics at time of publishing Indiana Fever play Connecticut Sun in the WNBA on Saturday 29 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Aliyah Boston Over 16.5 Points. That is a player points bet. It was priced at +105 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.50 if it lands. The game is at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indiana. Our model expects Aliyah Boston to finish with about 17.3 points. The line for this one is 16.5. Our number sits above that line. This is an alternate line, so the number is not the main one on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance.
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Overall Hit Rate (29 picks)
62.1%
Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.
Aliyah Boston is tracked by the Bet Better model for WNBA player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 62.1% on tracked Aliyah Boston picks. The latest model pick for Aliyah Boston is Over 16.5 on Points (Alt). The model identifies a slight edge of +4.5% on this pick. Their next game is Connecticut Sun vs Indiana Fever on Friday 28 August at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indiana. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your WNBA betting strategy.
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