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Model picks & player props
Alexei Popyrin
VS
Grigor Dimitrov

Alexei Popyrin vs Grigor Dimitrov Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 10, 5:30AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

Tennis
Mon 31 Aug 2026, 10:30PM
20
Game markets graded
1
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Under 39 Total Games +104

The model graded 21 markets for Alexei Popyrin vs Grigor Dimitrov (Tennis) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $204 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Mon 31 Aug 2026, 10:30PM.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win59.6%
The price says47.0%
Best price+104
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Games Under 39 Lean60% chance +104
Total Games High62% chance —
Total Games Lean59% chance —
Total Games Lean56% chance —
Spread Lean52% chance —
Spread Lean41% chance —
Spread Lean48% chance —
Set 1 Total Games High81% chance —
Set 1 Total Games High93% chance —
Moneyline × 1 prop Highup to 66% —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every Tennis game on today's board →

Alexei Popyrin and Grigor Dimitrov last met on Mon 31 Aug 2026. The model's calls from that game are graded below. Today's board: every Tennis game priced right now.

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This game is done — the model’s call CASHED
Under 39 · $100 returned $204

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Games
Under
38.5
+107
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Grigor DimitrovSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Grigor DimitrovSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Grigor DimitrovSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 1 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 1 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 1 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 1 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderSet 1 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Grigor DimitrovSet 1 WinnerThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Grigor DimitrovSet 2 WinnerThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Alexei Popyrin

Player availability is not tracked for Tennis on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Grigor Dimitrov

Player availability is not tracked for Tennis on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Alexei Popyrin vs Grigor Dimitrov: Tennis weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Tennis on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Moneyline

+ 1 player prop graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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The players are right there — Pro shows which of their lines the model backs, and how much to put on each.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total GamesGrigor Dimitrov vs Alexei PopyrinNo line posted
63%model under %
2.04fair price
PickUnder 39.5Model63.2%Fair2.04Odds-105

Grigor Dimitrov vs Alexei Popyrin — Total Games (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Under 39.5 at -105, fair price 2.04; our model makes it 63.2% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Game HandicapGrigor Dimitrov vs Alexei PopyrinNo line posted
55%model cover %
2.09fair price
PickGrigor Dimitrov -3.5Model55.3%Fair2.09Odds-105

Grigor Dimitrov vs Alexei Popyrin — Game Handicap (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Grigor Dimitrov -3.5 at -105, fair price 2.09; our model makes it 55.3% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Set 1 Total GamesGrigor Dimitrov vs Alexei PopyrinNo line posted
85%model over %
1.26fair price
PickOver 8.5Model85.1%Fair1.26Odds-588

Grigor Dimitrov vs Alexei Popyrin — Set 1 Total Games (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Over 8.5 at -588, fair price 1.26; our model makes it 85.1% (HIGH). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Set 1 WinnerGrigor Dimitrov vs Alexei PopyrinNo line posted
60%model win %
1.75fair price
PickGrigor Dimitrov set 1Model60.3%Fair1.75Odds-149

Grigor Dimitrov vs Alexei Popyrin — Set 1 Winner (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Grigor Dimitrov set 1 at -149, fair price 1.75; our model makes it 60.3% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Set 2 WinnerGrigor Dimitrov vs Alexei PopyrinNo line posted
60%model win %
1.72fair price
PickGrigor Dimitrov set 2Model60.3%Fair1.72Odds-161

Grigor Dimitrov vs Alexei Popyrin — Set 2 Winner (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Grigor Dimitrov set 2 at -161, fair price 1.72; our model makes it 60.3% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Alexei Popyrin @ Grigor Dimitrov — what the model found

Our model graded 21 betting markets for Alexei Popyrin at Grigor Dimitrov — 20 on the game itself and 1 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
1
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 21 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 20 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
18
Total Picks
—
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
31 Aug 26 Set 2 Winner Grigor Dimitrov ✗ MISS
31 Aug 26 Total Games Under 38.5 ✓ HIT
31 Aug 26 Total Games Under 39.5 ✓ HIT
31 Aug 26 Set 1 Total Games Over 6.5 ✓ HIT
31 Aug 26 Set 1 Total Games Over 7.5 ✓ HIT
31 Aug 26 Set 1 Total Games Over 8.5 ✓ HIT
31 Aug 26 Spread Grigor Dimitrov -3.5 ✗ MISS
31 Aug 26 Set 1 Winner Grigor Dimitrov ✓ HIT
31 Aug 26 Spread Grigor Dimitrov -4.5 ✗ MISS
31 Aug 26 Spread Grigor Dimitrov -5.5 ✗ MISS
31 Aug 26 Set 1 Total Games Under 12.5 ✓ HIT
31 Aug 26 Set 1 Total Games Over 9.5 ✗ MISS
31 Aug 26 Total Games Under 40 ✓ HIT
31 Aug 26 Total Games Under 39 ✓ HIT
31 Aug 26 Total Games Under 40.5 ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Alexei Popyrin vs Grigor Dimitrov in the Tennis. You may also see this matchup written as Popyrin vs Dimitrov, or as Dimitrov vs Popyrin. The most recent game between them was Monday 31 August 2026. The model has generated 20 game picks and 1 player prop for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Tennis betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Completed matches · last 4 meetings
Even at 2–2 across the last 4 meetings
DateWinnerScoreTournamentSurface
8 Oct 2024Grigor Dimitrov7-6 6-2Shanghai Masters · 3rd RoundHard
10 Aug 2024Alexei Popyrin4-6 7-6 6-3Canadian Open · 3rd RoundHard
1 Sep 2021Alexei Popyrin7-6 7-6 4-0US Open · 2nd RoundHard
5 Feb 2021Grigor Dimitrov6-4 6-7 6-3Murray River Open · 3rd RoundHard
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