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Model picks & player props
Alejandro Tabilo
VS
Alexei Popyrin

Alejandro Tabilo vs Alexei Popyrin Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 10, 4:43AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

Tennis
Thu 3 Sep 2026, 5:20PM
20
Game markets graded
1
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Under 41.5 Total Games -123

The model graded 21 markets for Alejandro Tabilo vs Alexei Popyrin (Tennis) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $181 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Thu 3 Sep 2026, 5:20PM.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win62.3%
The price says51.3%
Best price-123
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Games Under 41.5 High62% chance -123
Total Games Lean57% chance —
Total Games Lean57% chance —
Total Games High60% chance —
Total Games Lean57% chance —
Total Games Lean54% chance —
Total Games Lean60% chance —
Spread Long-shot35% chance —
Set 1 Total Games Lean56% chance —
Moneyline × 1 prop Highup to 71% —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every Tennis game on today's board →

Alejandro Tabilo and Alexei Popyrin last met on Thu 3 Sep 2026. The model's calls from that game are graded below. Today's board: every Tennis game priced right now.

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This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
Alexei Popyrin · $100 returned $209

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Games
Under
41
-118
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Alexei PopyrinSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 1 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Alexei PopyrinSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Alexei PopyrinSet 2 WinnerThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Alexei PopyrinSet 1 WinnerThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Alexei PopyrinSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Alejandro TabiloSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Alexei PopyrinSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderSet 1 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Alexei PopyrinSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Alejandro Tabilo

Player availability is not tracked for Tennis on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Alexei Popyrin

Player availability is not tracked for Tennis on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Alejandro Tabilo vs Alexei Popyrin: Tennis weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Tennis on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

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See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Moneyline

+ 1 player prop graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total GamesAlexei Popyrin vs Alejandro TabiloNo line posted
64%model under %
2.05fair price
PickUnder 40.5Model64.1%Fair2.05Odds-109

Alexei Popyrin vs Alejandro Tabilo — Total Games (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Under 40.5 at -109, fair price 2.05; our model makes it 64.1% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Game HandicapAlexei Popyrin vs Alejandro TabiloNo line posted
41.0%our model's read
PickAlexei Popyrin -2.5Model41.0%Odds+170

Alexei Popyrin vs Alejandro Tabilo — Game Handicap (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Alexei Popyrin -2.5 at +170; our model makes it 41.0% (LONG-SHOT). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Set 1 Total GamesAlexei Popyrin vs Alejandro TabiloNo line posted
63%model over %
1.71fair price
PickOver 9.5Model62.7%Fair1.71Odds-175

Alexei Popyrin vs Alejandro Tabilo — Set 1 Total Games (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Over 9.5 at -175, fair price 1.71; our model makes it 62.7% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Set 1 WinnerAlexei Popyrin vs Alejandro TabiloNo line posted
2.22fair price
PickAlexei Popyrin set 1Model48.0%Fair2.22Odds+112

Alexei Popyrin vs Alejandro Tabilo — Set 1 Winner (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Alexei Popyrin set 1 at +112, fair price 2.22; our model makes it 48.0% (LONG-SHOT). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Set 2 WinnerAlexei Popyrin vs Alejandro TabiloNo line posted
2.36fair price
PickAlexei Popyrin set 2Model48.0%Fair2.36Odds+123

Alexei Popyrin vs Alejandro Tabilo — Set 2 Winner (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Alexei Popyrin set 2 at +123, fair price 2.36; our model makes it 48.0% (LONG-SHOT). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Alejandro Tabilo @ Alexei Popyrin — what the model found

Our model graded 21 betting markets for Alejandro Tabilo at Alexei Popyrin — 20 on the game itself and 1 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
1
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 21 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 20 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
03 Sep 26 Set 1 Winner Alexei Popyrin ✓ HIT
03 Sep 26 Set 1 Total Games Under 12.5 ✓ HIT
02 Sep 26 Set 1 Total Games Over 7.5 ✓ HIT
02 Sep 26 Set 1 Winner Alexei Popyrin ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Alejandro Tabilo vs Alexei Popyrin in the Tennis. You may also see this matchup written as Tabilo vs Popyrin, or as Popyrin vs Tabilo. The most recent game between them was Thursday 3 September 2026. The model has generated 20 game picks and 1 player prop for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Tennis betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Completed matches · last 1 meeting
Alexei Popyrin 1–0 across the last meeting
DateWinnerScoreTournamentSurface
28 May 2025Alexei Popyrin7-5 6-3 6-4French Open · 2nd RoundClay
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