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Model picks & player props
Fulham
VS
Aston Villa

Fulham vs Aston Villa Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 10, 4:40AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

Soccer
Villa Park, Birmingham
Outdoor
Sun 28 Sep 2025, 1:00PM
2
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Aston Villa Draw No Bet -167

The model graded 2 markets for Fulham vs Aston Villa (Soccer) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $160 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 28 Sep 2025, 1:00PM at Villa Park.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win82.1%
The price says62.5%
Best price-167
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Draw No Bet Aston Villa High82% chance -167
Both Teams to Score High60% chance —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every Soccer game on today's board →

Fulham and Aston Villa last met on Sun 28 Sep 2025. What follows is the model's graded record from that game; a new preview appears here the moment the next one is priced. Today's board: every Soccer game priced right now.

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This game is done — the model’s call CASHED
Aston Villa · $100 returned $160

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best Soccer market — 57 of 117 right (soccer draw no bet calls)
This bet type · last timeSep 7
Cagliari
Lecce @ Cagliari
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $162
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Draw No Bet
Aston Villa
-167
+ 1 more market
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Aston VillaDraw No BetThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
NoBoth Teams to ScoreThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Fulham

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Aston Villa

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Fulham vs Aston Villa: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineFulham @ Aston VillaNo line posted
7-0-1past meetings (last 8)
Draw28%Home form11-5-4Away form8-3-9
past meetings, home wins7 / 8 home

In their last 8 meetings, Aston Villa have won 7, drawn 0 and lost 1. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Draw No BetFulham @ Aston VillaNo line posted
82%Aston Villa win %
7-0-1past meetings (last 8)
Home GF/g1.6Away GF/g1.4

Aston Villa to win with the stake returned on a draw; the model prices this at 82%. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Both Teams to ScoreFulham @ Aston VillaNo line posted
58%both teams score %
4 / 8past meetings, both scored
Aston Vill60%Fulham65%
past meetings, both scored4 / 8 both scored

Both teams scored in 60% of Aston Villa's and 65% of Fulham's recent matches; our model makes both teams scoring 58% here. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Total GoalsFulham @ Aston VillaNo line posted
54%model over %
6 / 8past meetings, over 2.5
Home ov2.565%Away ov2.565%past meetings avg2.9
past meetings, over 2.56 / 8 over

The last 8 meetings averaged 2.9 goals, over 2.5 in 6 of them; the model prices Over at 54% here. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Fulham @ Aston Villa — what the model found

Our model graded 2 betting markets for Fulham at Aston Villa — 2 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

2
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 2 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 1 graded call for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
28 Sep 25 Draw No Bet Aston Villa ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Fulham vs Aston Villa in the Soccer. The most recent game between them was Sunday 28 September 2025 at Villa Park. The model has generated 2 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 24 meetings on record
Aston Villa 12–7 across the last 24 meetings · 5 draws · these games average 2.4 goals (meetings on record since 2007)
DateGameScoreWinner
25 Apr 2026Aston Villa @ Fulham1–0Fulham
28 Sep 2025Fulham @ Aston Villa3–1Aston Villa
3 May 2025Fulham @ Aston Villa1–0Aston Villa
19 Oct 2024Aston Villa @ Fulham1–3Aston Villa
17 Feb 2024Aston Villa @ Fulham1–2Aston Villa
12 Nov 2023Fulham @ Aston Villa3–1Aston Villa
25 Apr 2023Fulham @ Aston Villa1–0Aston Villa
20 Oct 2022Aston Villa @ Fulham3–0Fulham
4 Apr 2021Fulham @ Aston Villa3–1Aston Villa
28 Sep 2020Aston Villa @ Fulham0–3Aston Villa

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 24 meetings on file.

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