On Thursday 10 September 2026, Aston Villa play Nottingham Forest in the EPL. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Over 1.5 Total Goals, priced at -312 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest: Over 1.5 Total Goals (-312)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing When Aston Villa hosts Nottingham Forest, expect a lively encounter with plenty of chances. Villa has averaged 2.2 goals at home over their last five matches, showcasing their attacking prowess. Meanwhile, their defense has been a bit leaky, conceding an average of 1.6 goals. On the flip side, Nottingham’s away form, while struggling overall, has seen them score three goals in their last outing—proving they can find the back of the net even on the road. Recent matchups also favor a high-scoring affair, as Villa has gone 3-1-1 against Forest in their last five meetings. With both teams showing the ability to create chances, and with a combined average of over 3 goals in their last five games, the Over 1.5 total goals feels like a smart bet. Expect fireworks as they both push for a crucial win!
Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest: Over 8.5 Total Corners (-250)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing As Aston Villa prepares to host Nottingham Forest, the likelihood of corner kicks hitting the over 8.5 mark seems favorable. Villa's home games have recently turned into corner fest, averaging 1.8 corners per match in their last five outings, while Forest has been racking up even more, with 2.2 corners away from home. Despite their struggles on the road, Forest’s attacking approach—averaging 12.4 shots per game—suggests they’ll push for opportunities, leading to corners. Meanwhile, Villa’s strong home record and their ability to generate 12.8 shots at home signal they won’t sit back either. With both teams showing a penchant for creating chances, expect a lively encounter that pushes corner counts past that 8.5 line. The stats favor a high corner total, aligning perfectly with the attacking intent from both sides.
That is how our model reads Aston Villa v Nottingham Forest. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.