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Model picks & player props
Toulouse
VS
Nice

Toulouse vs Nice Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 10, 6:09AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

Soccer
Allianz Riviera, Nice
Outdoor
Sat 16 Aug 2025, 7:05PM
17
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Toulouse Head to Head (3-Way) +255

The model graded 17 markets for Toulouse vs Nice (Soccer) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $355 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 16 Aug 2025, 7:05PM at Allianz Riviera.

Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win34.2%
The price says28.2%
Best price+255
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Head to Head (3-Way) Toulouse Long-shot34% chance +255
Moneyline Long-shot34% chance —
Draw No Bet Lean44% chance —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every Soccer game on today's board →

Toulouse and Nice last met on Sat 16 Aug 2025. What follows is the model's graded record from that game; a new preview appears here the moment the next one is priced. Today's board: every Soccer game priced right now.

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This game is done — the model’s call CASHED
Toulouse · $100 returned $347

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best Soccer market — 57 of 117 right (soccer draw no bet calls)
This bet type · last timeSep 7
Cagliari
Lecce @ Cagliari
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $162
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Head to Head (3-Way)
Toulouse
+255
+ 16 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
ToulouseHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
ToulouseMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
ToulouseDraw No BetThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Toulouse FC

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

OGC Nice

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Toulouse vs Nice: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineToulouse @ NiceNo line posted
3-4-1past meetings (last 8)
Draw32%Toulouse34%Home form11-4-5Away form5-6-9
past meetings, home wins3 / 8 home

In their last 8 meetings, Nice have won 3, drawn 4 and lost 1. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Both Teams to ScoreToulouse @ NiceNo line posted
57%both teams score %
4 / 8past meetings, both scored
Nice70%Toulouse65%
past meetings, both scored4 / 8 both scored

Both teams scored in 70% of Nice's and 65% of Toulouse's recent matches; our model makes both teams scoring 57% here. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Total GoalsToulouse @ NiceNo line posted
2 / 8past meetings, over 2.5
Home ov2.560%Away ov2.555%past meetings avg1.9
past meetings, over 2.52 / 8 over

The last 8 meetings averaged 1.9 goals, over 2.5 in 2 of them. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Toulouse @ Nice — what the model found

Our model graded 17 betting markets for Toulouse at Nice — 17 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

17
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 17 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 16 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Toulouse @ Nice — model preview

Expert analysis and top Ligue 1 betting picks for Nice vs Toulouse. Featuring picks like NA player props. Discover same game parlay, SGP picks, Ligue 1 parlay odds, soccer parlay.

Nice vs Toulouse: Toulouse Draw No Bet (+150)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Toulouse's performance in the last five games shows a promising scoring average of 2.4 goals per game, compared to Nice's 1.4. This is reflected in the expected goals (xG) with Toulouse at 2.04 vs Nice's 1.5. Toulouse also has a higher shots on target average (5.4 vs 4.2), suggesting a more aggressive offensive strategy. On the defensive end, Toulouse's tackle win average is higher (10.2 vs 8), indicating a stronger defense. In head-to-head matches, both teams have similar records, but Toulouse's superior scoring and defensive stats give them an edge. Thus, betting on Toulouse in the Draw No Bet market is a good choice, as their recent performance shows a higher potential for a win or draw.

🔒 The other 2 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
3
Total Picks
—
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
16 Aug 25 Draw No Bet Toulouse ✓ HIT
16 Aug 25 Moneyline Toulouse ✓ HIT
16 Aug 25 Head to Head (3-Way) Toulouse ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Toulouse vs Nice in the Soccer. The most recent game between them was Saturday 16 August 2025 at Allianz Riviera. The model has generated 17 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

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