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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Casey DeSmith is Over 14.5 on Saves.
On Saves, our numbers say this bet wins about 91 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 91%, implied 87%, edge +3.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NHL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 6:45AM UTC
NHL

Casey DeSmith

Dallas Stars

+3.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Saves Over 14.5 -667 (1.15) · $100→$115
+3.7% Edge
Seattle Kraken @ Dallas Stars
American Airlines Center, Dallas, FUT · Indoor
Thu 26 Feb, 1:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
91 in 100
Predicted
25.2 Saves
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 90.6% · the book's price implies 87.0% · gap +3.7%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Saves90.6%87.0%1.10+3.7%

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AI Analysis

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Casey DeSmith (Dallas Stars) Over 14.5 Saves (-667)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Picture this: it's a chilly Thursday night and the Dallas Stars are welcoming the Seattle Kraken onto their home ice. Dallas' stalwart netminder, Casey DeSmith, is gearing up in the crease. He's been a revelation this season, stopping pucks as if his life depended on it, particularly at home. In his last five home games, DeSmith has averaged 24.4 saves, allowing just a measly two goals against per match. That's a save count well north of our target 14.5. DeSmith isn't just a home hero either; his overall performance echoes this story, with a stellar 21.8 saves average in his last five outings. And let's not forget his impeccable hit streak: 13 straight home games, 21 overall. When DeSmith is between the pipes, the chances are he's going to rack up those saves. So, let's back him to go over 14.5 saves in this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
SavesModel read - latest listed matchupNo line posted
25.2projected saves (model)
Line14.5Model proj25.2Last oppSEAListed6

Casey DeSmith (Dallas Stars) NHL Saves: BetBetter's model projects 25.2 saves against a market line of 14.5 vs SEA. 6 matchups tracked. No upcoming NHL line is posted for this market right now.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Casey DeSmith (Dallas Stars) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NHL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Casey DeSmith is Over 14.5 on Saves. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.7% on this pick. Their next game is Seattle Kraken vs Dallas Stars on Thursday 26 February at American Airlines Center, Dallas. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NHL betting strategy.

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