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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Zay Flowers is Yes on Anytime TD.
On Anytime TD, our numbers say this bet wins about 50 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 50%, implied 42%, edge +8.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 1:04PM UTC
NFL

Zay Flowers

BAL

+8.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Anytime TD Yes +140 (2.40) · $100→$240
+8.6% Edge
New York Jets @ Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore · Indoor
QUESTIONABLESeason pending
The Ravens listed Flowers as a limited participant in Wednesday's practice due to a hamstring injury.
updated Sep 9, 9:02PM UTC
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Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
50 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 50.2% · the book's price implies 41.7% · gap +8.6%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime TD50.2%41.7%1.99+8.6%

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AI Analysis

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Zay Flowers (BAL) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+140)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Based on Zay Flowers' recent performance, betting on him in the 'player_anytime_td' market does not appear to be a promising choice. Over his last five games, Flowers has not scored a touchdown at all, both at home and away. This streak extends to his last ten games, where he only scored once at home and none away. Even looking at the broader picture, Flowers' overall hit rate is quite low, with only 8 touchdowns in 45 games overall, and just 4 at home out of 23 games. His current streaks for scoring touchdowns, both overall and at home, stand at zero. The model edge of 0.0856 is not substantial enough to offset these stats. Therefore, statistically, it's unlikely for Flowers to score a touchdown in the upcoming game against the Jets.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD19 lines trackedNo line posted
50%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked19

Zay Flowers's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 19 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 50%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Rushing Yards2 lines trackedNo line posted
4.5typical line · rushing yds
line range4.5–4.5model over67%tips tracked2

Zay Flowers's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 2 times, typically around a 4.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Zay Flowers (BAL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Zay Flowers is Yes on Anytime TD. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.6% on this pick. Their next game is New York Jets vs Baltimore Ravens at Baltimore. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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