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The latest Bet Better model pick for Zach Charbonnet is Under 46.5 on Rushing Yards.
On Rushing Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 73 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 73%, implied 53%, edge +19.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 1:04PM UTC
NFL

Zach Charbonnet

SEA

+19.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Rushing Yards Under 46.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
+19.8% Edge
San Francisco 49ers @ Seattle Seahawks
Seattle · Indoor
OUTSeason pending
Coach Mike Macdonald said Monday that Charbonnet (knee) looks "awesome" in his rehab from a torn ACL, Gregg Bell of The Tacoma News Tribune reports.
updated Sep 7, 8:53PM UTC · 2d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
73 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 73.0% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap +19.8%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rushing Yards73.0%—53.2%1.37+19.8%

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AI Analysis

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Zach Charbonnet (SEA) Under 46.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The under 46.5 rushing yards bet for Zach Charbonnet in the Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers game appears to be a strong option, based on recent performance and hit rates. Charbonnet has been struggling to surpass the 46.5 rushing yards mark, with an overall hit rate of 0/5 and a home hit rate of 0/5 in his last five appearances. His overall performance in the last 10 games also reinforces this trend, with an overall hit rate of 0/10. While Charbonnet has done well against San Francisco in general, with a hit rate of 3/4, his performance at home against this team is less stellar with a hit rate of only 1/2. Given these statistics, the under 46.5 bet appears to be the safer option, especially considering Charbonnet's current hit streak of 0 in overall and home games. The model edge of 0.198430336580155

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD8 lines trackedNo line posted
53%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked8

Zach Charbonnet's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 8 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 53%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Rushing Yards4 lines trackedNo line posted
46.5typical line · rushing yds
line range46.5–46.5tips tracked4

Zach Charbonnet's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 4 times, typically around a 46.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receiving Yards9 lines trackedNo line posted
4.5typical line · receiving yds
line range4.5–69.5model over90%tips tracked9

Zach Charbonnet's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 9 times, typically around a 4.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions3 lines trackedNo line posted
0.5typical line · receptions
line range0.5–4.5model over98%tips tracked3

Zach Charbonnet's NFL receptions prop has been priced 3 times, typically around a 0.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Zach Charbonnet (SEA) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Zach Charbonnet is Under 46.5 on Rushing Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.8% on this pick. Their next game is San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks at Seattle. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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