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The latest Bet Better model pick for Tyler Allgeier is Yes on Anytime TD.
On Anytime TD, our numbers say this bet wins about 50 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 50%, implied 32%, edge +18.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 11:35AM UTC
NFL

Tyler Allgeier

ATL

+18.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Anytime TD Yes +210 (3.10) · $100→$310
+18.0% Edge
Seattle Seahawks @ Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta · Indoor
No injury designationSeason pending
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
50 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 50.2% · the book's price implies 32.3% · gap +18.0%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime TD50.2%—32.3%1.99+18.0%

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AI Analysis

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Tyler Allgeier (ATL) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+210)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Based on the statistics provided, it is difficult to make a strong case for betting on Tyler Allgeier to score a touchdown at any time during the Atlanta Falcons vs Seattle Seahawks game. Allgeier's recent performance and hit rates do not inspire confidence. His overall hit rate in the last 20 games is only 1/20, and his home hit rate is slightly better at 3/20. However, against the Seahawks, Allgeier has never scored in the last two games played. His performance at home against the Seahawks is also dismal with no touchdowns scored in the last game. His current hit streaks are all at zero, suggesting he is not on a scoring run. Despite the model edge of 0.179, the player's historical and recent performance data does not support a bet on Allgeier to score a touchdown in this game.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Receptions1 line trackedNo line posted
1.5typical line · receptions
tips tracked1

Tyler Allgeier's NFL receptions prop has been priced 1 time, typically around a 1.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receiving Yards17 lines trackedNo line posted
4.5typical line · receiving yds
line range4.5–39.5model over63%tips tracked17

Tyler Allgeier's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 17 times, typically around a 4.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Anytime TD22 lines trackedNo line posted
50%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked22

Tyler Allgeier's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 22 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 50%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Rushing Yards6 lines trackedNo line posted
21.5typical line · rushing yds
line range20.5–22.5tips tracked6

Tyler Allgeier's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 6 times, typically around a 21.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Tyler Allgeier (ATL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tyler Allgeier is Yes on Anytime TD. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +18.0% on this pick. Their next game is Seattle Seahawks vs Atlanta Falcons at Atlanta. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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