Troy Franklin (DEN) Under 20.5 Receiving Yards (-109)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The statistical data strongly supports a bet on Troy Franklin to fall under 20.5 in the 'player_reception_yds' market for the Denver Broncos vs Buffalo Bills game. Franklin has been underperforming recently with an overall hit rate of 0 in his last 3, 5, and 10 games. He is currently on a hit streak of 0, which demonstrates a consistent lack of productivity. Despite his slightly better performance at home, with a 6/17 hit rate, this is still well below the threshold for this bet. Moreover, his overall hit rate is 11/34, which suggests that he is unlikely to exceed 20.5 reception yards. The model's edge of 0.167 indicates a significant advantage for the under bet. Therefore, using this data, the under 20.5 bet is the most statistically sound.