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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Tanner Conner is Over 14.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt).
On Receiving Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 70 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 70%, implied 50%, edge +20.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 2:43PM UTC
NFL

Tanner Conner

MIA

+20.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Receiving Yards (Alt) Over 14.5 +101 (2.01) · $100→$201
+20.0% Edge
Baltimore Ravens @ Miami Dolphins
Miami · Indoor
No injury designationSeason pending
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
70 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 69.7% · the book's price implies 49.8% · gap +20.0%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards (Alt)69.7%49.8%1.43+20.0%

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AI Analysis

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Tanner Conner (MIA) Over 14.5 Player reception yds alternate (+101)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The statistical data for Tanner Conner suggests a cautious approach to betting over 14.5 on the 'player_reception_yds_alternate' market. Conner's recent performance, specifically the hit rate, shows a downward trend. His overall hit rate in the last 3, 5, 10, and 20 games is 0/3, 0/5, 1/10, and 1/10 respectively. His current hit streak is also at 0, indicating a lack of recent success. On the home front, while slightly better with a 1/3 hit rate, the home current hit streak is also at 0. The model edge of approximately 0.20, while positive, is not substantial enough to outweigh these negative trends. Therefore, based on the provided statistics and recent performance, the bet on Tanner Conner for Over 14.5 might not be the best option.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Receptions2 lines trackedNo line posted
0.5typical line · receptions
line range0.5–3.5model over97%tips tracked2

Tanner Conner's NFL receptions prop has been priced 2 times, typically around a 0.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receiving Yards8 lines trackedNo line posted
4.5typical line · receiving yds
line range4.5–49.5model over84%tips tracked8

Tanner Conner's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 8 times, typically around a 4.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Anytime TD3 lines trackedNo line posted
27%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked3

Tanner Conner's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 3 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 27%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Tanner Conner (MIA) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tanner Conner is Over 14.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt). The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.0% on this pick. Their next game is Baltimore Ravens vs Miami Dolphins at Miami. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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