Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Rome Odunze is Yes on Anytime TD.
On Anytime TD, our numbers say this bet wins about 50 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 50%, implied 41%, edge +9.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 12:26PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Anytime TD
Yes
+145 (2.45) · $100→$245
+9.4% Edge
Pittsburgh Steelers
@
Chicago Bears
QUESTIONABLESeason pending
Odunze (calf) was limited in Wednesday's practice.
updated Sep 9, 8:29PM UTC
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How often this wins
50 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 50.2% · the book's price implies 40.8% · gap +9.4%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Anytime TD | 50.2% | — | 40.8% | 1.99 | +9.4% |
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Rome Odunze (CHI) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+145)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The betting data for Rome Odunze in the 'player_anytime_td' market presents a very low probability of success. The overall hit rate for Odunze scoring a touchdown at any time is just 2 out of 27, which equates to a mere 7.4% success rate. His recent performance doesn't inspire confidence either - he has not scored a touchdown in his last 10 games overall and his last 13 home games. In fact, he has a current hit streak of 0 both overall and at home. Given these low hit rates and his lackluster recent performance, the statistical rationale doesn't support betting on Odunze to score a touchdown in the upcoming game against the Pittsburgh Steelers. Despite the model edge of 0.094, the overall statistics point towards a low likelihood of this bet being successful.
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Betting angles
Markets & formAnytime TD11 lines trackedNo line posted
50%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked11
Rome Odunze's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 11 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 50%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Receiving Yards2 lines trackedNo line posted 33.5typical line · receiving yds
line range33.5–34.5tips tracked2
Rome Odunze's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 2 times, typically around a 33.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Receptions2 lines trackedNo line posted 1.5typical line · receptions
line range1.5–2.5model over84%tips tracked2
Rome Odunze's NFL receptions prop has been priced 2 times, typically around a 1.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Rome Odunze (CHI) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Rome Odunze is Yes on Anytime TD. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.4% on this pick. Their next game is Pittsburgh Steelers vs Chicago Bears at Chicago. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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