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The latest Bet Better model pick for Rhamondre Stevenson is Over 24.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt).
On Receiving Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 36 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 36%, implied 32%, edge +3.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 5:35PM UTC
NFL

Rhamondre Stevenson

NE

+3.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Receiving Yards (Alt) Over 24.5 +215 (3.15) · $100→$315
+3.8% Edge
Los Angeles Chargers @ New England Patriots
New England · Indoor
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Stevenson rushed 18 times for 51 yards and brought in five of six targets for 44 yards in the Patriots' 13-10 loss to the Seahawks on Wednesday.
updated Sep 10, 4:32AM UTC
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Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
36 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 35.6% · the book's price implies 31.8% · gap +3.8%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards (Alt)35.6%31.8%2.81+3.8%

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AI Analysis

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Rhamondre Stevenson (NE) Over 24.5 Player reception yds alternate (+215)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The statistical data suggests a bet on Rhamondre Stevenson achieving over 24.5 yards in the 'player_reception_yds_alternate' market is risky. Stevenson's recent performance and trends do not indicate a high likelihood of success. His overall hit rate is relatively low at 10/58, and his home hit rate is only slightly better at 6/28. When specifically playing against the Los Angeles Chargers, Stevenson's hit rate drops to 0/2, which further diminishes when playing against the Chargers at home, maintaining at 0/2. His recent performance also lacks positive indicators, with an overall, home, and vs. Chargers current hit streak of 0. His overall and home hit rates for the last 3, 5, 10, and 20 games are all either very low or nonexistent. These statistics suggest that betting on Stevenson to exceed 24.5 yards is not well-supported by his past performance.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Receiving Yards50 lines trackedNo line posted
14.5typical line · receiving yds
line range4.5–59.5model over65%tips tracked50

Rhamondre Stevenson's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 50 times, typically around a 14.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Anytime TD17 lines trackedNo line posted
52%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked17

Rhamondre Stevenson's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 17 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 52%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions11 lines trackedNo line posted
1.5typical line · receptions
line range1.5–3.5model over95%tips tracked11

Rhamondre Stevenson's NFL receptions prop has been priced 11 times, typically around a 1.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Rushing Yards12 lines trackedNo line posted
38.5typical line · rushing yds
line range36.5–39.5tips tracked12

Rhamondre Stevenson's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 12 times, typically around a 38.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Rhamondre Stevenson (NE) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Rhamondre Stevenson is Over 24.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt). The model identifies a slight edge of +3.8% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Chargers vs New England Patriots at New England. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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