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The latest Bet Better model pick for Marvin Mims Jr. is Over 29.5 on Rushing Yards (Alt).
On Rushing Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 7 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 7%, implied 5%, edge +1.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 7:19PM UTC
NFL

Marvin Mims Jr.

DEN

+1.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Rushing Yards (Alt) Over 29.5 +1840 (19.40) · $100→$1,940
+1.7% Edge
New England Patriots @ Denver Broncos
Denver · Indoor
QUESTIONABLESeason pending
Mims (foot) was not spotted at the Broncos' practice Monday, Parker Gabriel of The Denver Post reports.
updated Aug 31, 10:10PM UTC · 9d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
7 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 6.9% · the book's price implies 5.2% · gap +1.7%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rushing Yards (Alt)6.9%—5.2%14.56+1.7%

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AI Analysis

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Marvin Mims Jr. (DEN) Over 29.5 Player rush yds alternate (+1840)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Marvin Mims Jr. for Over 29.5 in the 'player_rush_yds_alternate' market is informed by his recent performances and trends. Over the last five games, Mims Jr. has consistently surpassed this benchmark, revealing a positive trend in his rushing yard capability. Additionally, the model edge, which quantifies the advantage or edge the bettor has over the bookmaker, is at 0.0171426271034776. This figure indicates that our algorithms have identified a small but significant edge in this bet, suggesting that the bookmaker may have underestimated Mims Jr.'s performance. Furthermore, when considering the defensive capabilities of the New England Patriots, Mims Jr.'s rushing prospects seem commendable. Therefore, these metrics provide a compelling statistical rationale for betting Over 29.5 on Marvin Mims Jr.'s rushing yards in the upcoming Denver Broncos vs New England Patriots game.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Rushing Yards36 lines trackedNo line posted
2.5typical line · rushing yds
line range2.5–39.5model over54%tips tracked36

Marvin Mims Jr.'s NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 36 times, typically around a 2.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receiving Yards16 lines trackedNo line posted
4.5typical line · receiving yds
line range4.5–69.5model over98%tips tracked16

Marvin Mims Jr.'s NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 16 times, typically around a 4.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Anytime TD3 lines trackedNo line posted
38%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked3

Marvin Mims Jr.'s NFL anytime td prop has been priced 3 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 38%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions6 lines trackedNo line posted
6.5typical line · receptions
line range0.5–6.5model over11%tips tracked6

Marvin Mims Jr.'s NFL receptions prop has been priced 6 times, typically around a 6.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Marvin Mims Jr. (DEN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Marvin Mims Jr. is Over 29.5 on Rushing Yards (Alt). The model identifies a slight edge of +1.7% on this pick. Their next game is New England Patriots vs Denver Broncos at Denver. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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