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The latest Bet Better model pick for Lil'Jordan Humphrey is Over 5.5 on Receiving Yards.
On Receiving Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 60 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 60%, implied 52%, edge +8.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 7:21PM UTC
NFL

Lil'Jordan Humphrey

DEN

+8.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Receiving Yards Over 5.5 -106 (1.94) · $100→$194
+8.1% Edge
Buffalo Bills @ Denver Broncos
Denver · Indoor
No injury designationSeason pending
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
60 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 59.7% · the book's price implies 51.6% · gap +8.1%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards59.7%51.6%1.68+8.1%

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AI Analysis

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Lil'Jordan Humphrey (DEN) Over 5.5 Receiving Yards (-106)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Betting on Lil'Jordan Humphrey to surpass 5.5 reception yards in the upcoming game against the Buffalo Bills might seem risky considering his recent performance. He has failed to hit this mark in his last five overall games, as well as his last three home games. This poor form is reflected in his hit rates; an overall hit rate of 0/5 and a home hit rate of 0/3. However, it's worth noting that when playing against the Buffalo Bills, Humphrey has a perfect record, hitting the over in his single past encounter. Furthermore, his overall home hit rate of 9/16 shows that he has often performed better at home. Given that the game is at Denver, his home field, and his perfect record against Buffalo, the bet has potential despite Humphrey's recent struggles.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD5 lines trackedNo line posted
28%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked5

Lil'Jordan Humphrey's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 5 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 28%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receiving Yards9 lines trackedNo line posted
5.5typical line · receiving yds
line range4.5–29.5model over60%tips tracked9

Lil'Jordan Humphrey's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 9 times, typically around a 5.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions1 line trackedNo line posted
1.5typical line · receptions
tips tracked1

Lil'Jordan Humphrey's NFL receptions prop has been priced 1 time, typically around a 1.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Lil'Jordan Humphrey (DEN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Lil'Jordan Humphrey is Over 5.5 on Receiving Yards. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.1% on this pick. Their next game is Buffalo Bills vs Denver Broncos at Denver. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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