Keon Coleman (BUF) Under 21.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The statistical data heavily supports the under 21.5 bet for Keon Coleman in the 'player_reception_yds' market. Recently, Coleman's performance has been underwhelming, with his overall hit rate for the last 3, 5, and 10 games being 0. This indicates that he hasn't surpassed 21.5 receiving yards in any of his recent games. When looking at his home games, the hit rate isn't much better, being 0 for the last 3 and 5 games, and only 2 for the last 10 games. His overall hit rate is also low at 3 out of 26 games, meaning he has only surpassed 21.5 receiving yards in roughly 11.5% of his games. The model also shows a significant edge (17.1%) towards the under. Given these consistent under performances, betting under 21.5 for Coleman's receiving yards is statistically justified.