Keaton Mitchell (BAL) Under 21.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Keaton Mitchell to rush for under 21.5 yards during the Baltimore Ravens vs. New York Jets game is justified by Mitchell's recent performance and trends. Mitchell has failed to surpass this mark in his last three games, as indicated by his overall hit rate of 0/3. Furthermore, his performance at home has been similarly poor, with a hit rate of just 1/3 over the same period. Looking at a broader time frame, Mitchell's overall hit rate over the last 20 games is a dismal 3/14, with a home hit rate of 2/8. His current hit streak for both overall and home games is zero, indicating a lack of momentum. In light of these statistics, the model's edge of 18.8% for the under bet seems to be a reasonable estimate, suggesting that Mitchell is unlikely to exceed 21.5 rushing yards in the upcoming game.