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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Kareem Hunt is Under 18.5 on Rushing Yards.
On Rushing Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 65 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 65%, implied 53%, edge +11.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 2:43PM UTC
NFL

Kareem Hunt

KC

+11.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Rushing Yards Under 18.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
+11.8% Edge
Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City · Indoor
No injury designationSeason pending
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
65 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 64.9% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap +11.8%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rushing Yards64.9%53.2%1.54+11.8%

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AI Analysis

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Kareem Hunt (KC) Under 18.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The under bet on Kareem Hunt's rushing yards seems statistically sound given his recent performance and trends. Hunt has not hit the over on this prop bet in his last 5, 10, or even 20 games overall. Additionally, his performance at home and against the Denver Broncos also support this under bet. He has a hit rate of 0/5 and 0/10 at home in his last 5 and 10 games, respectively. When playing against the Broncos, his hit rate is 0/2 overall and 0/1 when at home. His current hit streak in all categories is zero, which further emphasizes his recent underperformance. Based on these stats, it seems likely that Hunt will rush for under 18.5 yards in the upcoming game against the Denver Broncos.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Rushing Yards3 lines trackedNo line posted
18.5typical line · rushing yds
line range18.5–19.5tips tracked3

Kareem Hunt's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 3 times, typically around a 18.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Kareem Hunt (KC) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Kareem Hunt is Under 18.5 on Rushing Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.8% on this pick. Their next game is Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs at Kansas City. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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