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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jordan Love is Over 14.5 on Rushing Yards (Alt).
On Rushing Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 44 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 44%, implied 39%, edge +4.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 3:33PM UTC
NFL

Jordan Love

GB

+4.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Rushing Yards (Alt) Over 14.5 +156 (2.56) · $100→$256
+4.9% Edge
Philadelphia Eagles @ Green Bay Packers
Green Bay · Indoor
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Love wrapped up the Packers' preseason slate having completed eight of 12 passes for 74 yards, one touchdown and no interceptions in two appearances.
updated Sep 3, 6:42PM UTC · 6d old
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Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
44 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 44.0% · the book's price implies 39.1% · gap +4.9%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rushing Yards (Alt)44.0%39.1%2.27+4.9%

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AI Analysis

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Jordan Love (GB) Over 14.5 Player rush yds alternate (+156)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The statistical data suggests that betting on Jordan Love to go over 14.5 rushing yards might not be a sound wager. Love’s recent performance, as well as his historical performance, is not encouraging. His overall hit rate is just 17% (8 out of 47), and his hit rate at home is even lower at around 9% (2 out of 22). His performance against the Philadelphia Eagles is particularly poor, with no successful hits in 2 attempts. In addition, Love's hit rate over the last 20 games is only 10% (2 out of 20). Recent trends also do not favor Love, as he is currently on a zero-hit streak overall, at home, and against Philadelphia. Given these statistics, the model's edge of just 4.9% indicates a low probability of Love exceeding 14.5 rushing yards in the upcoming game.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Rushing Yards13 lines trackedNo line posted
9.5typical line · rushing yds
line range9.5–29.5model over56%tips tracked13

Jordan Love's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 13 times, typically around a 9.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Jordan Love (GB) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jordan Love is Over 14.5 on Rushing Yards (Alt). The model identifies a slight edge of +4.9% on this pick. Their next game is Philadelphia Eagles vs Green Bay Packers at Green Bay. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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