Jauan Jennings (SF) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+200)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
While the model edge for Jauan Jennings to score at any time is relatively high at 0.168581289909618, his overall performance and recent hit rates suggest a cautious betting approach. His overall hit rate is low (5/62), and his recent performance shows a lack of consistency, with no touchdowns in his last 3 games overall and at home. His performance at home and against the Seattle Seahawks is slightly better (home hit rate: 3/30, vs. SEA hit rate: 1/6, vs. SEA at home hit rate: 1/3), but it still indicates a low probability. Despite his current hit streak of 1 against Seattle, the overall data suggests Jennings scoring a touchdown is not a high probability event. Therefore, the statistical reasoning suggests that this bet carries significant risk.