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The latest Bet Better model pick for Isaiah Likely is Yes on Anytime TD.
On Anytime TD, our numbers say this bet wins about 50 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 50%, implied 31%, edge +19.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 10:00AM UTC
NFL

Isaiah Likely

BAL

+19.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Anytime TD Yes +220 (3.20) · $100→$320
+19.0% Edge
Cincinnati Bengals @ Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore · Indoor
No injury designationSeason pending
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
50 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 50.2% · the book's price implies 31.3% · gap +19.0%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime TD50.2%31.3%1.99+19.0%

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AI Analysis

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Isaiah Likely (BAL) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+220)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The statistical data for Isaiah Likely scoring a touchdown in the Baltimore Ravens vs. Cincinnati Bengals game doesn't seem promising. His overall hit rate is approximately 23% (12/53), and his record at home is slightly better but still less than optimal, at about 21% (6/29). His record against Cincinnati is only 20% (1/5) overall, and he has never scored a touchdown against them at home. Furthermore, his recent performance indicates a downward trend, with no touchdowns in his last 10 games. Although there's a model edge of 0.1897, this might not be compelling enough given the player's past performance. Betting on Likely to score a touchdown seems like a high-risk wager considering these factors. The most positive stat is his current hit streak against Cincinnati, which is 1, but this is based on a small sample size.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Receiving Yards8 lines trackedNo line posted
16.5typical line · receiving yds
line range16.5–22.5tips tracked8

Isaiah Likely's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 8 times, typically around a 16.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Anytime TD2 lines trackedNo line posted
50%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked2

Isaiah Likely's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 2 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 50%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Isaiah Likely (BAL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Isaiah Likely is Yes on Anytime TD. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.0% on this pick. Their next game is Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens at Baltimore. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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