Dawson Knox (BUF) Over 5.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The data for Dawson Knox does not support a strong rationale for betting on him to go over 5.5 reception yards in the upcoming game against the New Orleans Saints. Knox's recent performance indicates a downturn in productivity in both overall and home games. In his last five games, he has not hit the over in any of them. Moreover, his hit rate at home in the last three games is 0/3. Even looking at longer-term trends, his overall hit rate in the last 20 games is less than 50% (9/20), and his home hit rate is exactly 50% (10/20). The current hit streaks also show that he has not been successful recently. Despite a decent overall hit rate of 32/48, his current form doesn't inspire confidence for this bet. Therefore, this bet seems risky given the recent and historical stats.