Davis Mills (HOU) Over 29.5 Player rush yds alternate (+850)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The statistics for Davis Mills rushing yards performance are not promising for a bet on over 29.5 yards. Both his recent performance (L5 averages) and overall trends show a consistent inability to surpass this mark. He has failed to hit the over in his last 5 and last 10 games, both overall and at home. His overall hit rate is just 1 out of 28, and at home it's 1 out of 14. The model edge is also relatively low at just 0.047, suggesting that there's not a significant statistical advantage in choosing this bet. Moreover, his current hit streaks at home and overall are both at zero. Given these statistics, it would be a risky proposition to bet on Davis Mills for Over 29.5 in the 'player_rush_yds_alternate' market in the Houston Texans vs Buffalo Bills game.