Dak Prescott (DAL) Over 14.5 Player rush yds alternate (+148)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The betting data for Dak Prescott to rush for over 14.5 yards seems unfavorable at first glance. His recent performance shows a lack of success, with a hit rate of 0 in his last 10 overall and home games. This trend extends to his last 20 games, where he only hit the over once overall and five times at home. His overall hit rate is 27.45%, and it drops to 25% at home. However, the model edge is 0.0368724229416917, indicating a narrow predicted advantage for this bet. It's important to note that this model edge, while positive, is quite small and doesn't necessarily guarantee a successful outcome. Given Prescott's recent performance and hit rates, this bet appears to be high risk. Unless there are other significant factors, such as changes in the Chiefs' defence, betting on Prescott to rush over 14.5 yards may not be the most viable option.