Courtland Sutton (DEN) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+215)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Statistically, betting on Courtland Sutton to score a touchdown at any time during the Denver Broncos vs Buffalo Bills game appears to be a risky bet. Sutton's recent performance data does not suggest a high probability of success. His overall hit rate in the last 20 games is just 10% (2/20), and his hit rate at home in the last 20 games is slightly better at 20% (4/20). He has not scored a touchdown in his last 10 games overall, and none in his last 5 games at home. His current hit streaks both overall and at home are at 0. However, his hit rate against Buffalo Bills is 100% (1/1), suggesting he may perform better against this specific team. Therefore, while the model gives a slight edge, the recent performance data tends to caution against this bet. It's a bet for those who value the match-up data more highly.