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The latest Bet Better model pick for Chris Godwin is Yes on Anytime TD.
On Anytime TD, our numbers say this bet wins about 50 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 50%, implied 39%, edge +11.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 11, 12:04AM UTC
NFL

Chris Godwin

TB

+11.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Anytime TD Yes +155 (2.55) · $100→$255
+11.0% Edge
Atlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay · Indoor
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Buccaneers general manager Jason Licht praised Godwin on Monday for his consistency and veteran leadership, Brianna Dix of the team's official site reports.
updated Sep 3, 12:29AM UTC · 7d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
50 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 50.2% · the book's price implies 39.2% · gap +11.0%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime TD50.2%—39.2%1.99+11.0%

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AI Analysis

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Chris Godwin (TB) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+155)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The statistical evidence doesn't offer strong support for a bet on Chris Godwin to score a touchdown anytime during the Buccaneers vs Falcons game. Godwin's overall hit rate is just over 20% (10/46), and it drops to 25% (6/24) for home games. More concerning is his specific performance against the Falcons, where he has not scored in any of his last five matchups, including two at home. His recent trend also does not inspire confidence, as he has not scored in any of his last five games overall or in his last three home games. Despite a model edge of 11%, the historical data and recent performance trends suggest that a bet on Godwin to score a touchdown has a low probability of success.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD3 lines trackedNo line posted
50%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked3

Chris Godwin's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 3 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 50%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Chris Godwin (TB) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Chris Godwin is Yes on Anytime TD. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.0% on this pick. Their next game is Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Tampa Bay. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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