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The latest Bet Better model pick for Caleb Williams is Yes on Anytime TD.
On Anytime TD, our numbers say this bet wins about 36 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 36%, implied 24%, edge +11.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 12:20PM UTC
NFL

Caleb Williams

CHI

+11.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Anytime TD Yes +310 (4.10) · $100→$410
+11.4% Edge
Los Angeles Rams @ Chicago Bears
Chicago · Indoor
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Coach Ben Johnson lauded Williams' approach Tuesday as the quarterback enters his third NFL campaign, Larry Mayer of the Bears' official site reports. "He's executing at a much higher clip than he ever has, and I think it's going to continue to grow," Johnson said. "He's going to continue to elevate everyone around him, coaches included."
updated Sep 3, 7:23PM UTC · 6d old
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Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
36 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 35.7% · the book's price implies 24.4% · gap +11.4%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime TD35.7%—24.4%2.80+11.4%

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AI Analysis

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Caleb Williams (CHI) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+310)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Given the data provided, it's hard to make a strong case for betting "Yes" on Caleb Williams to score a touchdown at any point in the upcoming Chicago Bears vs Los Angeles Rams game. Williams has a poor scoring record, with zero touchdowns in his last 20 games overall, his last 18 home games, his last 10 games against the Rams, and his last game against the Rams at home. His hit rate remains at zero across all these categories. Furthermore, he's currently on a zero-game scoring streak in all scenarios (overall, at home, against the Rams, and against the Rams at home). Even though the model gives a slight edge for a "Yes" bet, the consistent lack of scoring from Williams indicates that this bet carries a high level of risk.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Rushing Yards12 lines trackedNo line posted
22.5typical line · rushing yds
line range17.5–22.5tips tracked12

Caleb Williams's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 12 times, typically around a 22.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Passing Yards73 lines trackedNo line posted
124.5typical line · passing yds
line range124.5–214.5model over98%tips tracked73

Caleb Williams's NFL passing yards prop has been priced 73 times, typically around a 124.5 passing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Anytime TD7 lines trackedNo line posted
41%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked7

Caleb Williams's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 7 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 41%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Caleb Williams (CHI) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Caleb Williams is Yes on Anytime TD. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.4% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Rams vs Chicago Bears at Chicago. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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