Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Brock Purdy is Under 15.5 on Rushing Yards.
On Rushing Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 58 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 58%, implied 53%, edge +5.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 8:30PM UTC
NFL

Brock Purdy

SF

+5.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Rushing Yards Under 15.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
+5.1% Edge
Seattle Seahawks @ San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco · Indoor
No injury designationSeason pending
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
58 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 58.3% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap +5.1%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rushing Yards58.3%53.2%1.72+5.1%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Brock Purdy (SF) Under 15.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Brock Purdy for under 15.5 rushing yards in the game between San Francisco 49ers and Seattle Seahawks is based on a series of factors. Brock Purdy's recent performance trends indicate a downward trajectory, as reflected by his overall hit rate in the last 3 games (0/3), last 5 games (0/5), and last 10 games (1/10). These figures suggest that he has been consistently underperforming against this line. Furthermore, his hit rate at home games is also not encouraging, with a record of 0/3 in the last three home games and 1/5 in the last five. While he has a slightly better hit rate against Seattle (3/5 in the last 5 games and 3/5 in the last 10 games), it is still below the line set for this particular bet. Also, his current hit streak in all categories is 0, indicating a lack of momentum.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Rushing Yards12 lines trackedNo line posted
14.5typical line · rushing yds
line range9.5–29.5model over44%tips tracked12

Brock Purdy's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 12 times, typically around a 14.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Brock Purdy (SF) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Brock Purdy is Under 15.5 on Rushing Yards. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.1% on this pick. Their next game is Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers at San Francisco. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.