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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Bo Nix is Under 20.5 on Rushing Yards.
On Rushing Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 69 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 69%, implied 53%, edge +16.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 9:06AM UTC
NFL

Bo Nix

DEN

+16.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Rushing Yards Under 20.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
+16.0% Edge
Las Vegas Raiders @ Denver Broncos
Denver · Indoor
No injury designationSeason pending
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
69 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 69.2% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap +16.0%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rushing Yards69.2%53.2%1.45+16.0%

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AI Analysis

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Bo Nix (DEN) Under 20.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The Under 20.5 rushing yards bet for Bo Nix in the Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders game is supported by several key statistics. Looking at Nix's recent performance, his overall hit rate is quite low, with 0 successful bets out of the last 5, 3, and 10 games. His home hit rate is equally unimpressive with 0 successful bets out of the last 5 and 3 games, and only 3 out of the last 10. This trend suggests that Nix has struggled to exceed 20.5 rushing yards recently, both overall and at home. Furthermore, the model edge of 0.1597 indicates that there's a significant statistical advantage in betting Under. While Nix's hit rate against Las Vegas is perfect, it's based on a small sample size (2 games), which may not be a reliable predictor. Given these statistics, betting Under 20.5 rushing yards for Bo Nix seems a reasonable choice

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Rushing Yards10 lines trackedNo line posted
20.5typical line · rushing yds
line range20.5–22.5tips tracked10

Bo Nix's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 10 times, typically around a 20.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Bo Nix (DEN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Bo Nix is Under 20.5 on Rushing Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +16.0% on this pick. Their next game is Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos at Denver. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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