Baker Mayfield (TB) Under 16.5 Rushing Yards (-109)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Baker Mayfield going under 16.5 rushing yards in the Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers game is supported by his recent performance and trends. Looking at his overall statistics, Mayfield has been underperforming, particularly in his last 10 games where he hit the under target 10/10 times. His performance at home also supports the under bet, with a hit rate of 1/10 in his last 10 home games. Moreover, his current overall and home hit streaks are both at zero, which indicates a consistent underperformance. Although his record against Carolina is strong, it is important to consider the broader trends. The model also gives an edge of 0.0845 to the under bet, suggesting its prediction aligns with these statistics. Therefore, the data-driven rationale supports a bet on the under 16.5 rushing yards for Mayfield in this game.