Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Austin Hooper is Under 10.5 on Receiving Yards.
On Receiving Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 60 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 60%, implied 53%, edge +6.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 3:33PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Receiving Yards
Under 10.5
-114 (1.88) · $100→$188
+6.8% Edge
Houston Texans
@
New England Patriots
No injury designationSeason pending
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How often this wins
60 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 60.0% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap +6.8%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Receiving Yards | 60.0% | — | 53.2% | 1.67 | +6.8% |
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Austin Hooper (NE) Under 10.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The under 10.5 bet for Austin Hooper in the 'player_reception_yds' market appears promising when considering Hooper's recent performance and trends. Hooper's overall hit rate in the last 20 games is 0/20, showing a consistent underperformance. His home hit rate in the last 20 matches is also low at 6/20. Furthermore, his current hit streaks for both overall and home games are at zero. While Hooper has performed slightly better against Houston (2/3 hit rate overall and 1/2 at home), his recent and overall performance indicates a stronger trend towards underperformance. The statistical model also provides a 6.79% edge towards the 'Under' outcome. Given these stats, betting on Hooper to fall under 10.5 in the 'player_reception_yds' market seems like a statistically sound choice.
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Betting angles
Markets & formReceptions35 lines trackedNo line posted 1.5typical line · receptions
line range0.5–2.5model over49%tips tracked35
Austin Hooper's NFL receptions prop has been priced 35 times, typically around a 1.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Receiving Yards61 lines trackedNo line posted 9.5typical line · receiving yds
line range4.5–39.5model over60%tips tracked61
Austin Hooper's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 61 times, typically around a 9.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Anytime TD11 lines trackedNo line posted
31%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked11
Austin Hooper's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 11 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 31%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Austin Hooper (NE) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Austin Hooper is Under 10.5 on Receiving Yards. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.8% on this pick. Their next game is Houston Texans vs New England Patriots at New England. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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