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Model picks & player props
Minnesota Vikings
VS
Chicago Bears

Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 15, 11:31AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

NFL
Chicago
Sun 20 Sep 2026, 5:00PM
20
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Under 16.5 Alternate Team Total Points +750

The model graded 20 markets for Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears (NFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $850 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 20 Sep 2026, 5:00PM at Chicago.

Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win30.0%
The price says11.1%
Best price+750
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Alternate Team Total Points Under 16.5 Long-shot30% chance +750
Moneyline Lean50% chance —
Alternate Team Total Points Long-shot34% chance —
Total Points High70% chance —
Alternate Team Total Points Long-shot26% chance —
Alternate Team Total Points Long-shot23% chance —
Spread High65% chance —
Alternate Totals H1 Long-shot20% chance —
Alternate Team Totals H1 High92% chance —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every NFL game on today's board →
Minnesota Vikings are the model's favourite to beat Chicago Bears, with a 50% chance to win. Predicted score: Chicago Bears 21.4 – Minnesota Vikings 20.9. Kick-off Sun 20 Sep, 5:00PM at Chicago. Best bet: Under 16.5 at +750.
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Best price on this game

Odds checked in the last few minutes · 23 bookmakers compared
Winner
Vikings3.13+212Kalshi
Chicago Bears1.45-223Kalshi
Total points
Over49.52.04+104Kalshi
Under49.51.92-108Kalshi

Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears odds by bookmaker

23 books · best price in green
BookVikings winChicago Bears winChicago Bears -5.5Over 49.5Under 49.5
Bally Bet3.10+2101.36-2781.92-1091.92-1091.89-112
BetAnySports3.05+2051.41-2441.91-1101.95-1051.87-115
BetMGM3.00+2001.43-2331.91-110——
BetOnline3.03+2031.41-2441.91-1101.95-1051.87-115
betPARX3.10+2101.36-2781.92-1091.92-1091.89-112
BetRivers3.10+2101.36-2781.92-1091.92-1091.89-112
BetUS3.05+2051.41-2441.91-1101.91-1101.91-110
Bovada3.05+2051.41-2441.91-110——
DraftKings2.90+1901.43-2331.91-1101.98-1021.85-118
ESPN BET3.00+2001.42-2381.91-1101.95-1051.87-115
Fanatics3.00+2001.41-2441.91-110——
FanDuel3.05+2051.40-2501.93-1081.94-1061.88-114
Fliff2.95+1951.38-2631.91-1101.91-1101.87-115
Hard Rock Bet3.00+2001.40-2501.91-110——

Since the market opened: Chicago Bears to win opened 1.48, best now 1.46; the over 49.5 opened 1.92, best now 2.04 (decimal, best book).

Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best NFL market — 101 of 152 right (nfl receiving yards (alt) overs)
Our call on this game: 1 pick on the board · logged before tip-offSee the picks

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Alternate Team Total Points
Under
17.5
+500
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 0 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 57,105+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota VikingsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota VikingsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Totals H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota VikingsMoneyline 3 Way Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Totals H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Totals H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota VikingsMoneyline 3 Way Q3The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota VikingsMoneyline 3 Way Q2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market drifted away from Minnesota Vikings on this game.

Line movement

▼ moved toward Minnesota Vikings
Exact move size 🔒 Pro

Best price right now

Polymarket
on Minnesota Vikings
Best-price gain 🔒 Pro
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Minnesota Vikings

  • Jordan Mason RBQuestionable
  • Kyler Murray QBQuestionable
  • Ben Yurosek TEOut
  • Michael Jurgens COut
  • Tyler Batty LBOut

Chicago Bears

  • Ozzy Trapilo OTOut
  • Xavier Woods SOut
  • Tyson Bagent QBOut
  • Kyler Gordon CBOut
  • Shemar Turner DTOut
  • Dallis Flowers CBOut
Availability updated Sep 15, 2:03AM UTC — NFL availability is season-pending (off-season); treat as a placeholder until the season opens. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears: Outdoors with 5 mph wind, 47°F — stronger wind and cold both nudge totals and the kicking game down, and 11 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Roof / venueopen-air outdoor
Surfacenatural grass
Wind5 mph
Temperature47°F
Availability11 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: sustained wind above ~15 mph and hard cold both drag NFL totals and kicking numbers down, while a key skill-position player being out shifts target and touch share to his backups.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

3 markets live
MoneylineMinnesota Vikings to win+205
50%model win %

Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears moneyline — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Point SpreadMinnesota Vikings spread+5.5 -110
65%cover %

Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears spread — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Total PointsVikings @ BearsUnder 49.5 -114
70%under %

Chicago Bears vs Minnesota Vikings game total — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Minnesota Vikings @ Chicago Bears — what the model found

Our model graded 20 betting markets for Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears — 20 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 20 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 19 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears — recent results

Chicago Bears have won 3 of their last 5 games; Minnesota Vikings have won 3 of their last 5.

Chicago Bears — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W59–37CARAway
W24–15TENAway
L9–27CINAway
W34–10CLEHome
L17–20LARHome
Minnesota Vikings — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W39–22GBHome
L6–34DENAway
L3–13BALHome
W13–10NYGAway
W16–3GBHome

Who’s out or in doubt

11 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Chicago Bears
PlayerStatus
Ozzy Trapilo OTOUT
Xavier Woods SOUT
Tyson Bagent QBOUT
Kyler Gordon CBOUT
Shemar Turner DTOUT
Dallis Flowers CBOUT
Minnesota Vikings
PlayerStatus
Jordan Mason RBQUESTIONABLE
Kyler Murray QBQUESTIONABLE
Ben Yurosek TEOUT
Michael Jurgens COUT
Tyler Batty LBOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Minnesota Vikings @ Chicago Bears — where the money went

Since betting opened on Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears, the market has moved away from Minnesota Vikings across the main game markets.

BetWhat the money did
Moneyline — Minnesota Vikings▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Minnesota Vikings -5.5▼ Money drifted off this
Moneyline — Chicago Bears▲ Money came for this
Spread — Chicago Bears -3.5▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Minnesota Vikings 3.5▲ Money came for this
Spread — Minnesota Vikings 2.5▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Chicago Bears -6▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Under 47.5▼ Money drifted off this
🔒 Exact prices and how far each line moved are for members. Unlock →
Built from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction the market moved, never a raw per-book odds board.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears in the NFL. You may also see this matchup written as Vikings vs Bears, or as Bears vs Vikings. The next scheduled game is Sunday 20 September 2026 at Chicago. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NFL betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 22 meetings on record
Minnesota Vikings 14–8 across the last 22 meetings · these games average 40.3 points (meetings on record since 2015)
DateGameScoreWinner
16 Nov 2025Chicago Bears @ Minnesota Vikings17–19Chicago Bears
8 Sep 2025Minnesota Vikings @ Chicago Bears24–27Minnesota Vikings
16 Dec 2024Chicago Bears @ Minnesota Vikings30–12Minnesota Vikings
24 Nov 2024Minnesota Vikings @ Chicago Bears27–30Minnesota Vikings
27 Nov 2023Chicago Bears @ Minnesota Vikings10–12Chicago Bears
15 Oct 2023Minnesota Vikings @ Chicago Bears13–19Minnesota Vikings
8 Jan 2023Minnesota Vikings @ Chicago Bears13–29Minnesota Vikings
9 Oct 2022Chicago Bears @ Minnesota Vikings29–22Minnesota Vikings
9 Jan 2022Chicago Bears @ Minnesota Vikings31–17Minnesota Vikings
20 Dec 2021Minnesota Vikings @ Chicago Bears9–17Minnesota Vikings

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 22 meetings on file.

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