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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jeremiah Smith is Under 5.5 on Receptions.
On Receptions, our numbers say this bet wins about 100 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 100%, implied 51%, edge +52.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 6:06AM UTC
NCAAF

Jeremiah Smith

NCAAF

+52.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Receptions Under 5.5 -102 (1.98) · $100→$198
+52.3% Edge
Ball State Cardinals @ Ohio State Buckeyes
Sat 5 Sep, 4:30PM
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf totals overs: 212 of 394 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
100 in 100
Predicted
0.8 Receptions
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 99.9% · the book's price implies 50.5% · gap +52.3%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receptions99.9%99.9%50.5%2.12+52.3%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games5/10

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AI Analysis

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Ohio State Buckeyes vs Ball State Cardinals: Jeremiah Smith Under 5.5 Receptions (-102)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

On Saturday 5 September 2026, Ohio State Buckeyes host Ball State Cardinals in college football. The bet we are looking at is Jeremiah Smith Under 5.5 Receptions. This wins if Jeremiah Smith finishes with fewer than 5.5 receptions. It was priced at -102 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.80 if it lands. That price was showing at FanDuel. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Jeremiah Smith is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jeremiah Smith is Under 5.5 on Receptions. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +52.3% on this pick. Their next game is Ball State Cardinals vs Ohio State Buckeyes on Saturday 5 September. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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