On Sunday 6 September 2026, Memphis Tigers play Arkansas State Red Wolves in college football. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Memphis Tigers -11 on the Line, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Memphis Tigers -11 on the Line (-110)
Odds available at Bovada at time of publishing
On Saturday 5 September 2026, Memphis Tigers host Arkansas State Red Wolves in college football. The bet we are looking at is Memphis Tigers -11 Point Spread. On this line Memphis Tigers give up 11 points before the game starts, so they have to win by more than 11. This is one of the bookmaker's alternate lines, not the main one, so the price is different. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. That price was showing at Bovada. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Over 54 Total Points (+110)
Odds available at Bovada at time of publishing
On Saturday 5 September 2026, Memphis Tigers host Arkansas State Red Wolves in college football. The bet we are looking at is Over 54 Total Points. This wins if the two sides score more than 54 points between them. This is one of the bookmaker's alternate lines, not the main one, so the price is different. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. That price was showing at Bovada. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Memphis Tigers to Win (-417)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
On Saturday 5 September 2026, Memphis Tigers host Arkansas State Red Wolves in college football. The bet we are looking at is Memphis Tigers Moneyline. This one only needs Memphis Tigers to win the game. It was priced at -417 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.40 if it lands. That price was showing at DraftKings. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -417 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.40 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Memphis Tigers v Arkansas State Red Wolves. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.