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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Matisse Thybulle is Under 1.5 on 3-Pointers.
On 3-Pointers, our numbers say this bet wins about 60 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 60%, implied 48%, edge +12.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 7:37AM UTC
NBA

Matisse Thybulle

Portland Trail Blazers

+12.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
3-Pointers Under 1.5 +108 (2.08) · $100→$208
+12.2% Edge
Portland Trail Blazers @ San Antonio Spurs
Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX · Indoor
Thu 9 Apr, 1:30AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
60 in 100
Predicted
1.4 3-Pointers
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 60.2% · the book's price implies 48.1% · gap +12.2%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
3-Pointers60.2%48.1%1.66+12.2%

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AI Analysis

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Matisse Thybulle (Portland Trail Blazers) Under 1.5 Threes Made (+108)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Trail Blazers prepare to face the Spurs, we're setting our sights on Matisse Thybulle and the Under on his three-pointers made, set at 1.5. While Thybulle has shown some flashes, recent trends highlight a different story, especially when he's on the road. In his last five away games, he's averaged just 1.8 threes, and against the Spurs specifically, that number dips to a mere 0.7. What's more intriguing is his hit rate; while he's been successful in hitting threes overall, he's managed only one against San Antonio in their last few meetings. With an expected stat value of just 1.37, it feels like Thybulle is set for a quieter night from beyond the arc. Given his overall hit rate of 14 out of 20, we're leaning towards the Under here, banking on a disciplined Spurs defense to keep him in check.

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Pick History & Track Record

Matisse Thybulle — 2024-25 season averages

Over 15 games in the 2024-25 season, Matisse Thybulle averaged 7.5 points, 3.5 rebounds and 1.9 assists in 20.7 minutes per game, shooting 47.7% from the field and 43.8% from three-point range.

7.5
PPG
3.5
RPG
1.9
APG
2.2
SPG
0.6
BPG
20.7
MPG
47.7%
FG%
43.8%
3P%

Matisse Thybulle — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Matisse Thybulle has played 27.4 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

27.4
MPG (L5)
10.2
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Matisse Thybulle — home vs away scoring

At home Matisse Thybulle averages 8.2 points per game; on the road, 6.3. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

8.2
PPG at home
6.3
PPG on the road

Matisse Thybulle — scoring by opponent

Matisse Thybulle scores most against the SAC, averaging 8.0 points per game in that matchup.

8.0
SAC
6.8
GS
6.6
TOR
6.3
LAL
5.8
LAC
5.8
OKC

Matisse Thybulle — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Matisse Thybulle has averaged 8.5 points, 3.4 rebounds and 2.3 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
13 Aprvs LAL291552
11 Aprvs GS221140
9 Apr@ UTAH381246
6 Aprvs SA21642
4 Apr@ CHI27742
3 Apr@ TOR25531
1 Apr@ ATL29845
30 Mar@ NY12010
27 Mar@ SAC18624
25 Marvs CLE151531
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Matisse Thybulle (Portland Trail Blazers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Matisse Thybulle is Under 1.5 on 3-Pointers. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.2% on this pick. Their next game is Portland Trail Blazers vs San Antonio Spurs on Thursday 9 April at Frost Bank Center, San Antonio. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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