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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Luke Kornet is Over 0.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 78 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 78%, implied 57%, edge +20.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 6:45AM UTC
NBA

Luke Kornet

San Antonio Spurs

+20.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Points Over 0.5 -135 (1.74) · $100→$174
+20.4% Edge
New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs
Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX · Indoor
Sun 14 Jun, 12:30AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
78 in 100
Predicted
5.0 Points
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 77.9% · the book's price implies 57.5% · gap +20.4%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points77.9%57.5%1.28+20.4%

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AI Analysis

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Luke Kornet (San Antonio Spurs) Over 0.5 Points (-135)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Spurs gear up to host the Knicks, all eyes should be on Luke Kornet for a simple yet enticing player prop: Over 0.5 points. This bet is as close to a lock as you can get, especially considering Kornet's impressive home hit rate where he's tallied over half a point in 16 of his last 18 games at home. The big man has been solid against the Knicks historically, averaging nearly 4.8 points per game at home against them. While he's only averaged about 1 point over his last five games overall, that doesn't tell the whole story. His overall hit rate stands at a staggering 75% in the last 20 games. With the Spurs needing contributions from every corner, you can expect Kornet to find his way onto the score sheet, making this prop a savvy play for Sunday's matchup. Grab the Over and watch him do just enough to cash in!

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Pick History & Track Record

Luke Kornet — 2024-25 season averages

Over 82 games in the 2024-25 season, Luke Kornet averaged 5.8 points, 5.1 rebounds and 1.5 assists in 18.3 minutes per game, shooting 66.8% from the field and 0.0% from three-point range.

5.8
PPG
5.1
RPG
1.5
APG
0.5
SPG
0.9
BPG
18.3
MPG
66.8%
FG%
0.0%
3P%

Luke Kornet — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Luke Kornet has played 15.2 minutes per game and started 0% of them.

15.2
MPG (L5)
5.0
PPG (L5)
0%
Started

Luke Kornet — home vs away scoring

At home Luke Kornet averages 5.9 points per game; on the road, 5.7. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

5.9
PPG at home
5.7
PPG on the road

Luke Kornet — scoring by opponent

Luke Kornet scores most against the WSH, averaging 7.4 points per game in that matchup.

7.4
WSH
6.4
CHA
5.7
ATL
5.7
PHI
5.5
BKN
5.4
DET

Luke Kornet — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Luke Kornet has averaged 4.6 points, 3.7 rebounds and 0.5 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
12 May@ NY8000
10 May@ NY10620
7 Mayvs NY18680
5 Mayvs NY17450
29 Aprvs ORL23942
27 Apr@ ORL16011
25 Apr@ ORL19660
23 Aprvs ORL12220
20 Aprvs ORL11210
13 Aprvs CHA301182
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
14 Jun 26 New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs Points Pending
14 Jun 26 New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs Pending
14 Jun 26 New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs Pending
11 Jun 26 San Antonio Spurs @ New York Knicks Pts + Rebs Pending
11 Jun 26 San Antonio Spurs @ New York Knicks Pts + Rebs Pending

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About This Player

Luke Kornet (San Antonio Spurs) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Luke Kornet is Over 0.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.4% on this pick. Their next game is New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs on Sunday 14 June at Frost Bank Center, San Antonio. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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