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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Leonard Miller is Under 16.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 91 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 91%, implied 51%, edge +40.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 6:06AM UTC
NBA

Leonard Miller

Chicago Bulls

+40.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Points Under 16.5 -104 (1.96) · $100→$196
+40.4% Edge
Chicago Bulls @ Washington Wizards
Capital One Arena, Washington, DC · Indoor
Tue 7 Apr, 11:00PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
91 in 100
Predicted
8.6 Points
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 91.4% · the book's price implies 51.0% · gap +40.4%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points91.4%51.0%1.09+40.4%

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AI Analysis

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Leonard Miller (Chicago Bulls) Under 16.5 Points (-104)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Wizards prepare to host the Bulls, all eyes will be on Leonard Miller, but betting on him to score over 16.5 points could be playing with fire. In his last five outings, he's averaged just 13.6 points-solid, but not enough to inspire confidence in this matchup. Even more telling is his performance against Chicago, where he's managed a mere 2 points per game recently, and just 3 when playing away. With an overall hit rate of 16 out of 20, Miller has struggled to break through this threshold, particularly on the road, where he's hit the under in 18 of the last 20 games. The Wizards' game plan often revolves around team ball rather than isolating one scorer, which bodes well for the under. So, targeting Miller for under 16.5 feels like a savvy play in this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Leonard Miller — 2024-25 season averages

Over 15 games in the 2024-25 season, Leonard Miller averaged 1.5 points, 0.9 rebounds and 0.0 assists in 2.5 minutes per game, shooting 41.2% from the field and 0.0% from three-point range.

1.5
PPG
0.9
RPG
0.0
APG
0.1
SPG
0.1
BPG
2.5
MPG
41.2%
FG%
0.0%
3P%

Leonard Miller — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Leonard Miller has played 2.0 minutes per game and started 0% of them.

2.0
MPG (L5)
0.8
PPG (L5)
0%
Started

Leonard Miller — home vs away scoring

At home Leonard Miller averages 1.0 points per game; on the road, 1.8. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

1.0
PPG at home
1.8
PPG on the road

Leonard Miller — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Leonard Miller has averaged 1.4 points, 0.5 rebounds and 0.0 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
8 Mayvs GS3210
19 Apr@ LAL2010
10 Apr@ MEM1200
3 Apr@ BKN2000
30 Marvs DET2000
4 Marvs PHI3210
2 Mar@ PHX2200
13 Febvs OKC2000
10 Feb@ CLE5410
5 Febvs CHI1210
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Leonard Miller (Chicago Bulls) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Leonard Miller is Under 16.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +40.4% on this pick. Their next game is Chicago Bulls vs Washington Wizards on Tuesday 7 April at Capital One Arena, Washington. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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