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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Josh Giddey is Under 18.5 on Rebounds + Assists.
On Rebounds + Assists, our numbers say this bet wins about 76 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 76%, implied 54%, edge +21.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 6:06AM UTC
NBA

Josh Giddey

Chicago Bulls

+21.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Rebs + Asts Under 18.5 -119 (1.84) · $100→$184
+21.2% Edge
Phoenix Suns @ Chicago Bulls
United Center, Chicago, IL · Indoor
Sun 5 Apr, 7:30PM
DAY-TO-DAY
Giddey (ankle) could benefit from the selections of Caleb Wilson and Dailyn Swain as well as Chicago's acquisition of Nic Claxton (finger) in 2026-27.
updated Jun 24, 6:04PM UTC · 77d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
76 in 100
Predicted
16.2 Rebs + Asts
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 75.5% · the book's price implies 54.3% · gap +21.2%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rebs + Asts75.5%54.3%1.32+21.2%

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AI Analysis

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Josh Giddey (Chicago Bulls) Under 18.5 Rebounds + Assists (-119)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Bulls host the Suns, all eyes will be on Josh Giddey, but betting on him to go under 18.5 combined rebounds and assists makes sense given the circumstances. While Giddey has been impressive lately with averages of 8.2 rebounds and 9.6 assists over his last five games, he's been less dominant at home against this particular opponent. Historically, he averages just 7.8 rebounds and 7.8 assists against the Suns in home matchups, which is slightly concerning for hitting that 18.5 mark. His recent form shows a solid hit rate, going under in three of his last four games, and hitting 15 out of 20 at home overall. With the Bulls looking to tighten up defensively, I wouldn't be surprised if Giddey struggles to replicate his usual numbers in this matchup. Taking the under here feels like a smart play.

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Pick History & Track Record

Josh Giddey — 2024-25 season averages

Over 71 games in the 2024-25 season, Josh Giddey averaged 14.7 points, 8.1 rebounds and 7.1 assists in 30.4 minutes per game, shooting 46.4% from the field and 37.5% from three-point range.

14.7
PPG
8.1
RPG
7.1
APG
1.2
SPG
0.6
BPG
30.4
MPG
46.4%
FG%
37.5%
3P%

Josh Giddey — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Josh Giddey has played 36.2 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

36.2
MPG (L5)
21.6
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Josh Giddey — points hit rate

Josh Giddey has scored over 12.5 points in 53% of 58 career games.

o11.557%
o12.553%
o15.528%

Josh Giddey — home vs away scoring

At home Josh Giddey averages 15.1 points per game; on the road, 14.4. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

15.1
PPG at home
14.4
PPG on the road

Josh Giddey — scoring by opponent

Josh Giddey scores most against the LAL, averaging 16.3 points per game in that matchup.

16.3
LAL
15.5
PHX
15.0
TOR
14.5
UTAH
14.2
GS
13.7
NO

Josh Giddey — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Josh Giddey has averaged 19.7 points, 10.9 rebounds and 9.8 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
16 Aprvs MIA4025104
9 Aprvs MIA40281611
6 Apr@ CHA3423108
4 Aprvs POR39151912
1 Aprvs TOR2817712
31 Mar@ OKC2815810
29 Marvs DAL27884
27 Marvs LAL40251411
24 Mar@ DEN362679
22 Mar@ LAL33151017
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Josh Giddey (Chicago Bulls) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Josh Giddey is Under 18.5 on Rebounds + Assists. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +21.2% on this pick. Their next game is Phoenix Suns vs Chicago Bulls on Sunday 5 April at United Center, Chicago. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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